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Saitama Seibu Lions v Chiba Lotte Marines
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)
Prediction 54.21%1.84fair odd
EV -0.796%
Edge -0.435%
Kelly -0.959%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%54.14%54.06%57.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.731.731.8360.24%57.92%57.80%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit)
Prediction 45.79%2.18fair odd
EV +4.40%
Edge +1.93%
Kelly +3.44%
Growth +0.151%
assuming max odds 2.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.13%45.86%45.94%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.832.062.102.2854.64%48.44%47.62%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saitama Seibu Lions (Local): 54.21%; Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit): 45.79%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.18. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.28, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.40%.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -10.01%E -6.03%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV +4.40%E +1.93%K +3.44%G +0.151% | 4.1% | 2026-07-15 05:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.67%E -3.26%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.55%E -0.722%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-15 08:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.67%E -3.26%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.55%E -0.722%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-15 08:44 |
| Coolbet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.30%E -4.27%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.55%E -0.722%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-15 08:54 |
| Caesars | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.38%E -4.96%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -1.55%E -0.722%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-14 13:22 |
| BetRivers | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -8.93%E -5.31%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -1.55%E -0.722%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-15 08:34 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -8.93%E -5.31%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -1.55%E -0.722%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-15 08:34 |
| Bally Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -8.93%E -5.31%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -1.55%E -0.722%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-15 08:34 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -8.93%E -5.31%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -1.55%E -0.722%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-15 08:34 |
| Unibet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -8.93%E -5.31%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -1.55%E -0.722%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-15 08:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -8.93%E -5.31%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -1.55%E -0.722%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-15 08:34 |
| Pinnacle | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -2.96%E -1.66%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -2.93%E -1.38%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-15 08:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.51%E -1.97%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-15 08:50 |
| Betsson | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-15 08:44 |
| NordicBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-15 08:44 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.47%E -5.67%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-15 08:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.47%E -5.67%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-15 08:34 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.47%E -5.67%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-15 08:34 |
| FanDuel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.05%E -2.29%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.67%E -2.75%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-15 08:54 |
| DraftKings | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.05%E -2.29%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-15 08:45 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-15 08:48 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.84%E -4.61%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-15 08:34 |
| BetMGM | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.42%E -1.35%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-15 08:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.05%E -2.29%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-15 08:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.05%E -2.29%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-15 08:54 |
| Bovada | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.05%E -2.29%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-15 08:43 |
| ReBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.67%E -3.26%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-15 08:54 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.22%E -3.59%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-15 08:54 |
| Betway | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.30%E -4.27%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-15 08:45 |
| Everygame | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.84%E -4.61%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-15 08:34 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.71%E -5.49%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-15 08:39 |
| BetUS | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -1.34%E -0.735%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -11.63%E -6.02%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-15 08:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.31%EV -8.38%E -4.96%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.69%EV -11.63%E -6.02%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-15 08:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.37%EV -10.01%E -6.03%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.63%EV -13.00%E -6.84%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-15 08:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -0.796%E -0.435%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -16.20%E -8.85%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-15 08:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.