The School of Odds

Saitama Seibu Lions v Chiba Lotte Marines

2026-07-15 09:00 UTC — NPB

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)

Prediction 55.91%1.79fair odd
EV -2.71%
Edge -1.56%
Kelly -3.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.86%55.92%55.96%57.03%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.621.681.681.7462%59%60%57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit)

Prediction 44.09%2.27fair odd
EV -1.69%
Edge -0.757%
Kelly -1.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.97%44.08%44.04%45.14%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.992.142.152.2350%47%47%45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fanatics1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.71%E -1.56%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-14 13:24
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -3.83%E -2.23%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -1.69%E -0.757%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-14 17:24
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -3.83%E -2.23%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -3.01%E -1.37%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-14 17:14
BetUS1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -3.83%E -2.23%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -7.86%E -3.76%K -7.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-14 17:10
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.39%E -2.57%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.01%E -1.37%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-14 13:29
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.39%E -2.57%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.01%E -1.37%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-14 13:29
William Hill1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -4.39%E -2.57%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -3.45%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-14 13:54
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.39%E -2.57%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.42%E -3.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-14 13:24
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.39%E -2.57%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.42%E -3.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-14 13:44
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.95%E -2.91%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.33%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-14 13:23
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.95%E -2.91%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.77%E -2.21%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-14 13:24
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.95%E -2.91%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-14 15:29
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.95%E -2.91%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-14 15:29
MyBookie.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 55.38%EV -4.95%E -2.91%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.62%EV -6.98%E -3.31%K -6.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-14 13:23
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.50%E -3.26%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-14 13:22
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.50%E -3.26%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-14 14:39
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.62%E -3.97%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.33%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-14 14:50
PMU (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.62%E -3.97%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.33%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-14 14:50
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.62%E -3.97%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.33%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-14 14:50
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.62%E -3.97%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.33%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-14 14:54
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.62%E -3.97%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.33%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-14 14:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.62%E -3.97%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.33%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-14 14:55
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.62%E -3.97%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-14 15:31
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.62%E -3.97%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.42%E -3.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-14 13:24
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.62%E -3.97%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.42%E -3.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-14 13:24
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.62%E -3.97%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.42%E -3.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-14 13:24
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.62%E -3.97%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.42%E -3.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-14 13:24
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.62%E -3.97%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.42%E -3.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-14 18:09
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.16%EV -7.74%E -4.69%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 44.84%EV -10.51%E -5.18%K -10.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-14 13:23
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -9.42%E -5.81%K -15.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-14 14:55
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -9.42%E -5.81%K -15.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.75%EV -11.83%E -5.91%K -11.83%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-14 13:24
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.12%EV -9.42%E -5.81%K -15.19%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 44.88%EV -12.27%E -6.17%K -12.39%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-14 13:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.