La scuola delle quote

Saitama Seibu Lions v Chiba Lotte Marines

Inizio: 2026-07-15 09:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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35 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Saitama Seibu Lions (Casa)

Previsione 54.21%1.84quota equa
EV -0.796%
Vantaggio -0.435%
Kelly -0.959%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.83

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.00%54.14%54.06%57.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.661.731.731.8360.24%57.92%57.80%54.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chiba Lotte Marines (Trasferta)

Previsione 45.79%2.18quota equa
EV +4.40%
Vantaggio +1.93%
Kelly +3.44%
Crescita +0.151%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.28

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.13%45.86%45.94%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.832.062.102.2854.64%48.44%47.62%43.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (35 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
William Hill1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -10.01%E -6.03%K -15.17%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV +4.40%E +1.93%K +3.44%G +0.151%4.1%2026-07-15 05:59
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.67%E -3.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.55%E -0.722%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-15 08:45
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.67%E -3.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.55%E -0.722%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-15 08:44
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.30%E -4.27%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.55%E -0.722%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-15 08:54
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.38%E -4.96%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -1.55%E -0.722%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-14 13:22
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -8.93%E -5.31%K -13.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -1.55%E -0.722%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-15 08:34
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -8.93%E -5.31%K -13.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -1.55%E -0.722%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-15 08:34
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -8.93%E -5.31%K -13.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -1.55%E -0.722%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-15 08:34
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -8.93%E -5.31%K -13.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -1.55%E -0.722%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-15 08:34
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -8.93%E -5.31%K -13.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -1.55%E -0.722%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-15 08:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -8.93%E -5.31%K -13.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -1.55%E -0.722%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-15 08:34
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -2.96%E -1.66%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -2.93%E -1.38%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-15 08:45
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.51%E -1.97%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-15 08:50
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-15 08:44
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-15 08:44
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.47%E -5.67%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-15 08:34
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.47%E -5.67%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-15 08:34
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.47%E -5.67%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-15 08:34
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.05%E -2.29%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.67%E -2.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-15 08:54
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.05%E -2.29%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-15 08:45
MyBookie.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-15 08:48
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.84%E -4.61%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-15 08:34
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.42%E -1.35%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-15 08:40
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.05%E -2.29%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-15 08:55
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.05%E -2.29%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-15 08:54
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.05%E -2.29%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-15 08:43
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.67%E -3.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-15 08:54
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.22%E -3.59%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-15 08:54
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.30%E -4.27%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-15 08:45
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.84%E -4.61%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-15 08:34
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.71%E -5.49%K -11.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-15 08:39
BetUS1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -1.34%E -0.735%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -11.63%E -6.02%K -12.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-15 08:54
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 53.31%EV -8.38%E -4.96%K -12.15%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.69%EV -11.63%E -6.02%K -12.50%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-15 08:54
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 53.37%EV -10.01%E -6.03%K -15.17%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.63%EV -13.00%E -6.84%K -14.44%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-15 08:55
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -0.796%E -0.435%K -0.959%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -16.20%E -8.85%K -19.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-15 08:54
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.