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Saitama Seibu Lions v Chiba Lotte Marines
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)
Prediction 59.80%1.67fair odd
EV -1.33%
Edge -0.807%
Kelly -2.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.14%59.63%59.82%61.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.581.571.6566.67%63.49%63.69%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit)
Prediction 40.20%2.49fair odd
EV +0.101%
Edge +0.040%
Kelly +0.068%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.97%40.37%40.18%42.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.332.352.4946.51%42.87%42.55%40.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saitama Seibu Lions (Local): 59.80%; Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit): 40.20%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.487. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.490, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.101%.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV +0.101%E +0.040%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-16 07:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV +0.101%E +0.040%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-16 07:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.72%E -2.31%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.51%E -0.615%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-16 07:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 07:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 07:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 07:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 07:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.60%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.40%EV -3.92%E -1.64%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-16 07:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.32%E -1.82%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 07:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -4.32%E -1.82%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 07:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -4.32%E -1.82%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 07:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -4.32%E -1.82%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 07:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -4.32%E -1.82%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 07:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -4.32%E -1.82%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 07:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 07:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 07:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 07:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.11%E -5.99%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 07:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -3.72%E -2.31%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -5.93%E -2.53%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 07:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.72%E -2.31%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.33%E -2.72%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 07:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 07:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 07:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 07:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-16 07:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.51%E -5.56%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-16 07:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.55%E -4.24%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 07:23 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.55%E -4.24%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-16 07:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.55%E -4.24%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-16 07:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.55%E -4.24%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-16 07:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -1.33%E -0.807%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -11.56%E -5.25%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 23:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.14%EV -9.11%E -5.99%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86%EV -11.56%E -5.25%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-16 07:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.02%EV -10.30%E -6.87%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 40.98%EV -13.17%E -6.10%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-16 07:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -3.72%E -2.31%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -13.57%E -6.31%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 23:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.