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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Saitama Seibu Lions v Chiba Lotte Marines

开赛时间： 2026-08-16 08:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Saitama Seibu Lions (主队)

预测 59.80%1.67公平赔率
EV -1.33%
优势 -0.807%
Kelly -2.05%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.65

博彩公司预测分布
57.14%59.63%59.82%61.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.501.581.571.6566.67%63.49%63.69%60.61%最小值均值中位数最大值

Chiba Lotte Marines (客队)

预测 40.20%2.49公平赔率
EV +0.101%
优势 +0.040%
Kelly +0.068%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.49

博彩公司预测分布
38.97%40.37%40.18%42.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.152.332.352.4946.51%42.87%42.55%40.16%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Saitama Seibu Lions (主队)：59.80%；Chiba Lotte Marines (客队)：40.20%。 对于“Chiba Lotte Marines (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.487。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.490，对应+0.101%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV +0.101%E +0.040%K +0.068%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-16 07:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV +0.101%E +0.040%K +0.068%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-16 07:20
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.72%E -2.31%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.51%E -0.615%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-16 07:30
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 07:34
FanDuel🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 07:35
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 07:34
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 07:35
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.60%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.40%EV -3.92%E -1.64%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-16 07:24
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.32%E -1.82%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 07:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -4.32%E -1.82%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 07:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -4.32%E -1.82%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 07:29
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -4.32%E -1.82%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 07:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -4.32%E -1.82%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 07:29
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -4.32%E -1.82%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 07:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 07:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 07:34
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 07:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.11%E -5.99%K -17.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 07:20
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -3.72%E -2.31%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -5.93%E -2.53%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 07:54
Coolbet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.72%E -2.31%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.33%E -2.72%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 07:24
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 07:25
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 07:20
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 07:24
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 07:29
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.51%E -5.56%K -16.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 07:50
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.55%E -4.24%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 07:23
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.55%E -4.24%K -7.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 07:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.55%E -4.24%K -7.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 07:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.55%E -4.24%K -7.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 07:24
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -1.33%E -0.807%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -11.56%E -5.25%K -9.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 23:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.14%EV -9.11%E -5.99%K -17.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86%EV -11.56%E -5.25%K -9.63%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-16 07:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.02%EV -10.30%E -6.87%K -20.60%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 40.98%EV -13.17%E -6.10%K -11.35%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-16 07:34
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -3.72%E -2.31%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -13.57%E -6.31%K -11.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 23:25
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。