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Orix Buffaloes v Tokyo Yakult Swallows
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Orix Buffaloes (Local)
Prediction 60.05%1.67fair odd
EV +0.881%
Edge +0.524%
Kelly +1.30%
Growth +0.011%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.25%60.11%60.10%62.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.571.571.6867.11%63.85%63.69%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit)
Prediction 39.95%2.50fair odd
EV +3.08%
Edge +1.19%
Kelly +1.95%
Growth +0.060%
assuming max odds 2.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.23%39.89%39.90%43.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.162.372.382.5846.30%42.24%42.02%38.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Orix Buffaloes (Local): 60.05%; Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit): 39.95%. For Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.50. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.58, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.08%.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -8.13%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV +3.08%E +1.19%K +1.95%G +0.060% | 4.1% | 2026-06-11 08:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -5.12%E -3.24%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -0.120%E -0.048%K -0.080%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-11 08:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -6.93%E -4.47%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -1.32%E -0.534%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-11 08:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -4.52%E -2.84%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -1.72%E -0.699%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-11 08:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.32%E -2.06%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.12%E -0.864%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-11 08:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.32%E -2.06%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.12%E -0.864%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-11 08:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.13%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.12%E -0.864%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-11 08:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.13%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.12%E -0.864%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-11 08:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.13%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.12%E -0.864%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-11 08:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.13%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.12%E -0.864%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-11 08:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.13%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.12%E -0.864%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-11 08:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.13%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.12%E -0.864%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-11 08:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.72%E -1.68%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.12%E -1.71%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-11 08:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.12%E -3.24%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.12%E -1.71%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-11 08:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.12%E -3.24%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.12%E -1.71%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-11 08:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.12%E -3.24%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.12%E -1.71%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-11 08:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.13%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.91%E -2.06%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-11 08:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.13%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.91%E -2.06%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-11 08:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.13%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.91%E -2.06%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-11 08:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.31%EV -6.32%E -4.05%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -5.31%E -2.24%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-11 08:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.72%E -3.65%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.11%E -2.60%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-11 08:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.72%E -3.65%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.11%E -2.60%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-11 02:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.32%E -4.05%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.11%E -2.60%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-11 08:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.32%E -4.05%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.11%E -2.60%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-11 06:18 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.72%E -1.68%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.11%E -3.53%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-11 08:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.72%E -3.65%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.11%E -3.53%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-11 08:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.72%E -3.65%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.11%E -3.53%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-11 08:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.72%E -3.65%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.11%E -3.53%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-11 08:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.93%E -4.47%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.11%E -3.53%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-11 02:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.72%E -3.65%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.11%E -4.49%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-11 08:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -8.13%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -10.11%E -4.49%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-11 08:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -0.921%E -0.558%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -12.11%E -5.50%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-11 08:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -3.92%E -2.45%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -12.11%E -5.50%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-11 08:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.40%EV -10.53%E -7.07%K -21.49%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.60%EV -12.90%E -5.92%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-06-11 08:48 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV +0.881%E +0.524%K +1.30%G +0.011% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -13.70%E -6.34%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-11 08:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.