L’École des cotes

Orix Buffaloes v Tokyo Yakult Swallows

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-11 09:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Orix Buffaloes (Local)

Prévision 60.05%1.67cote équitable
EV +0.881%
Avantage +0.524%
Kelly +1.30%
Croissance +0.011%

avec la cote maximale 1.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.25%60.11%60.10%62.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.491.571.571.6867.11%63.85%63.69%59.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.95%2.50cote équitable
EV +3.08%
Avantage +1.19%
Kelly +1.95%
Croissance +0.060%

avec la cote maximale 2.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.23%39.89%39.90%43.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.162.372.382.5846.30%42.24%42.02%38.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -8.13%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV +3.08%E +1.19%K +1.95%G +0.060%4.1%2026-06-11 08:09
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -5.12%E -3.24%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -0.120%E -0.048%K -0.080%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-11 08:40
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -6.93%E -4.47%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -1.32%E -0.534%K -0.897%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-11 08:49
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -4.52%E -2.84%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -1.72%E -0.699%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-11 08:40
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.32%E -2.06%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.12%E -0.864%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-11 08:49
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.32%E -2.06%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.12%E -0.864%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-11 08:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.13%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.12%E -0.864%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-11 08:49
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.13%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.12%E -0.864%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-11 08:50
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.13%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.12%E -0.864%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-11 08:50
Bally Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.13%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.12%E -0.864%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-11 08:50
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.13%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.12%E -0.864%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-11 08:49
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.13%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.12%E -0.864%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-11 08:49
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.72%E -1.68%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.12%E -1.71%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-11 08:49
FanDuel1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.12%E -3.24%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.12%E -1.71%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-11 08:50
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.12%E -3.24%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.12%E -1.71%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-11 08:49
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.12%E -3.24%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.12%E -1.71%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-11 08:50
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.13%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.91%E -2.06%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-11 08:50
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.13%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.91%E -2.06%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-11 08:50
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.13%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.91%E -2.06%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-11 08:50
MyBookie.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 60.31%EV -6.32%E -4.05%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -5.31%E -2.24%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-11 08:49
Hard Rock Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.72%E -3.65%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.11%E -2.60%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-11 08:49
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.72%E -3.65%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.11%E -2.60%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-11 02:10
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.32%E -4.05%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.11%E -2.60%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-11 08:49
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.32%E -4.05%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.11%E -2.60%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-11 06:18
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.72%E -1.68%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.11%E -3.53%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-11 08:50
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.72%E -3.65%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.11%E -3.53%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-11 08:49
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.72%E -3.65%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.11%E -3.53%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-11 08:49
ReBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.72%E -3.65%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.11%E -3.53%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-11 08:50
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.93%E -4.47%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.11%E -3.53%K -6.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-11 02:10
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.72%E -3.65%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.11%E -4.49%K -8.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-11 08:50
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -8.13%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -10.11%E -4.49%K -8.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-11 08:49
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -0.921%E -0.558%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -12.11%E -5.50%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-11 08:49
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -3.92%E -2.45%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -12.11%E -5.50%K -10.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-11 08:49
Betclic (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 59.40%EV -10.53%E -7.07%K -21.49%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.60%EV -12.90%E -5.92%K -10.94%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-11 08:48
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV +0.881%E +0.524%K +1.30%G +0.011%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -13.70%E -6.34%K -11.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-11 08:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.