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Orix Buffaloes v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Orix Buffaloes (Local)
Prediction 28.40%3.52fair odd
EV +3.37%
Edge +0.926%
Kelly +1.28%
Growth +0.043%
assuming max odds 3.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.77%28.39%28.31%30.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.323.403.6435.09%30.11%29.41%27.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit)
Prediction 71.60%1.40fair odd
EV -3.34%
Edge -2.47%
Kelly -9.54%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.28%71.61%71.69%74.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.311.311.3580.00%76.28%76.34%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Orix Buffaloes (Local): 28.40%; Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit): 71.60%. For Orix Buffaloes (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.52. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.64, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.37%.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.46%EV +3.37%E +0.926%K +1.28%G +0.043% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.54%EV -6.20%E -4.73%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-15 08:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV +3.09%E +0.851%K +1.17%G +0.036% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -6.20%E -4.73%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-15 08:52 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV +2.24%E +0.621%K +0.860%G +0.019% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -10.50%E -8.40%K -41.99%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-15 08:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -0.604%E -0.173%K -0.242%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.63%E -5.92%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-15 08:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -2.02%E -0.587%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -6.20%E -4.73%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-15 08:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -2.02%E -0.587%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -6.20%E -4.73%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-15 08:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -2.02%E -0.587%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -6.20%E -4.73%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-15 08:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.21%EV -3.16%E -0.927%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.79%EV -4.05%E -3.03%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-15 08:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.21%EV -3.16%E -0.927%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.79%EV -4.05%E -3.03%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-15 08:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.44%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.77%E -3.59%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-15 08:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.44%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.49%E -4.16%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-15 04:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.44%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.49%E -4.16%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-15 04:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.44%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.92%E -5.32%K -23.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-15 03:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.44%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.92%E -5.32%K -23.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-15 03:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.44%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.92%E -5.32%K -23.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-15 03:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.44%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.92%E -5.32%K -23.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-15 03:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.44%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.92%E -5.32%K -23.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-15 03:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.44%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.92%E -5.32%K -23.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-15 03:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.86%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.77%E -3.59%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-15 08:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.45%EV -5.72%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.55%EV -5.49%E -4.16%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-15 08:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.20%E -4.73%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-15 08:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.77%E -3.59%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-15 08:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -6.20%E -4.73%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-15 08:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.12%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.77%E -3.59%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-15 08:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.12%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.77%E -3.59%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-15 08:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.12%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.77%E -3.59%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-15 08:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.12%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.92%E -5.32%K -23.06%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-15 08:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.12%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.92%E -5.32%K -23.06%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-15 08:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -11.96%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -3.34%E -2.47%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-14 22:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.96%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.77%E -3.59%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 08:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -14.80%E -4.93%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -4.77%E -3.59%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.09%EV -16.22%E -5.50%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 69.91%EV -9.07%E -7.14%K -33.58%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-15 08:48 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.49%EV -19.06%E -6.69%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 69.51%EV -10.50%E -8.40%K -41.99%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-09-15 08:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.