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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Orix Buffaloes v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

开赛时间： 2026-09-15 09:01 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Orix Buffaloes (主队)

预测 28.40%3.52公平赔率
EV +3.37%
优势 +0.926%
Kelly +1.28%
增长率 +0.043%

假设最高赔率为 3.64

博彩公司预测分布
25.77%28.39%28.31%30.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.853.323.403.6435.09%30.11%29.41%27.47%最小值均值中位数最大值

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (客队)

预测 71.60%1.40公平赔率
EV -3.34%
优势 -2.47%
Kelly -9.54%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.35

博彩公司预测分布
69.28%71.61%71.69%74.23%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.251.311.311.3580.00%76.28%76.34%74.07%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Orix Buffaloes (主队)：28.40%；Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (客队)：71.60%。 对于“Orix Buffaloes (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.52。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.64，对应+3.37%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯3.64I 27.47%NM 26.46%EV +3.37%E +0.926%K +1.28%G +0.043%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.54%EV -6.20%E -4.73%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-15 08:50
1xBet🎯3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV +3.09%E +0.851%K +1.17%G +0.036%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -6.20%E -4.73%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-15 08:52
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV +2.24%E +0.621%K +0.860%G +0.019%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -10.50%E -8.40%K -41.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 08:40
Bovada🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -0.604%E -0.173%K -0.242%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.63%E -5.92%K -26.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-15 08:34
DraftKings🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -2.02%E -0.587%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -6.20%E -4.73%K -20.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 08:55
FanDuel🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -2.02%E -0.587%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -6.20%E -4.73%K -20.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 08:45
BetUS🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -2.02%E -0.587%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -6.20%E -4.73%K -20.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 08:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.41I 29.33%NM 28.21%EV -3.16%E -0.927%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.79%EV -4.05%E -3.03%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-15 08:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.41I 29.33%NM 28.21%EV -3.16%E -0.927%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.79%EV -4.05%E -3.03%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-15 08:55
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.44%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.77%E -3.59%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 08:45
Betsson🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.44%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.49%E -4.16%K -17.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 04:55
NordicBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.44%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.49%E -4.16%K -17.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 04:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.44%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.92%E -5.32%K -23.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 03:45
Unibet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.44%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.92%E -5.32%K -23.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 03:45
BetRivers🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.44%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.92%E -5.32%K -23.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 03:45
Unibet (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.44%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.92%E -5.32%K -23.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 03:45
PMU (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.44%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.92%E -5.32%K -23.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 03:45
Bally Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.44%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.92%E -5.32%K -23.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 03:45
Coolbet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.86%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.77%E -3.59%K -14.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 08:54
MyBookie.ag🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 28.45%EV -5.72%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.55%EV -5.49%E -4.16%K -17.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 08:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.20%E -4.73%K -20.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-15 08:44
BoyleSports🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.77%E -3.59%K -14.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 08:44
ReBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -6.20%E -4.73%K -20.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 08:45
888sport🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.12%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.77%E -3.59%K -14.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 08:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.12%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.77%E -3.59%K -14.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 08:35
888sport (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.12%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.77%E -3.59%K -14.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 08:35
theScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.12%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.92%E -5.32%K -23.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-15 08:45
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.12%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.92%E -5.32%K -23.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-15 08:35
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -11.96%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -3.34%E -2.47%K -9.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 22:19
Caesars🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.96%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.77%E -3.59%K -14.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 08:49
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -14.80%E -4.93%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -4.77%E -3.59%K -14.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-14 22:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.09%EV -16.22%E -5.50%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 69.91%EV -9.07%E -7.14%K -33.58%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-15 08:48
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.49%EV -19.06%E -6.69%K -10.30%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 69.51%EV -10.50%E -8.40%K -41.99%G +0.000%15.1%2026-09-15 08:49
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。