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Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Saitama Seibu Lions
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local)
Prediction 57.70%1.73fair odd
EV -2.49%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -3.61%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.99%57.72%57.72%59.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.641.651.6964.52%60.92%60.61%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit)
Prediction 42.30%2.36fair odd
EV -0.592%
Edge -0.252%
Kelly -0.438%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.26%42.28%42.28%44.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.062.222.202.3548.54%45.05%45.45%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local): 57.70%; Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit): 42.30%. For Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.36. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.35, with an expected value of -0.592%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.49%E -1.47%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -9.05%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-12 03:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -2.28%E -0.989%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-12 03:30 |
| Unibet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -8.21%E -3.78%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 03:34 |
| BetRivers | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -8.21%E -3.78%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 03:34 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -8.21%E -3.78%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 03:34 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -8.21%E -3.78%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 03:35 |
| Bally Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -8.21%E -3.78%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 03:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -8.21%E -3.78%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 03:34 |
| Fanatics | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.64%E -2.18%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.71%E -1.18%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-11 13:44 |
| 1xBet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -3.64%E -2.18%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -3.13%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-12 03:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.64%E -2.18%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.82%E -2.14%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-12 03:54 |
| Caesars | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.64%E -2.18%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.94%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 14:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.64%E -2.18%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.94%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 21:37 |
| William Hill | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.22%E -2.54%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.55%E -1.56%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-11 13:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.592%E -0.252%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-12 03:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.592%E -0.252%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-12 03:34 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.82%E -2.14%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 13:44 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.82%E -2.14%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 13:44 |
| Bovada | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.94%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-12 03:53 |
| Coral | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.05%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-11 21:44 |
| Coolbet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.37%E -3.28%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -3.98%E -1.75%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-12 03:39 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -5.37%E -3.28%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -5.67%E -2.54%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-11 13:43 |
| FanDuel | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.95%E -3.65%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.55%E -1.56%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 13:44 |
| ReBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.53%E -4.03%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.94%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-12 03:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.53%E -4.03%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.94%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-11 13:44 |
| theScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.53%E -4.03%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.94%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-11 13:44 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.53%E -4.03%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.94%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-11 19:09 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.11%E -4.41%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.94%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-11 13:44 |
| 888sport | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.11%E -4.41%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.94%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-11 14:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.11%E -4.41%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.94%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-11 14:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.11%E -4.41%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.94%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-11 14:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -8.26%E -5.19%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -9.05%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-12 03:49 |
| Everygame | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.41%E -6.00%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.82%E -2.14%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-11 18:43 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -10.57%E -6.82%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -2.71%E -1.18%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-12 01:39 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.06%EV -10.57%E -6.82%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 42.94%EV -12.86%E -6.24%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-12 03:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.