The School of Odds

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Saitama Seibu Lions

2026-07-12 04:00 UTC — NPB

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local)

Prediction 57.69%1.73fair odd
EV -3.08%
Edge -1.83%
Kelly -4.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.51%57.66%57.69%58.90%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.571.641.651.6864%61%61%60%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit)

Prediction 42.31%2.36fair odd
EV -2.26%
Edge -0.980%
Kelly -1.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.10%42.34%42.31%43.49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.102.222.202.3148%45%45%43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -3.08%E -1.83%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -2.26%E -0.980%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-11 13:44
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.08%E -1.83%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -3.96%E -1.74%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-11 14:44
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.66%E -2.19%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.69%E -1.17%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-11 13:44
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.66%E -2.19%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.69%E -1.17%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-11 13:45
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.66%E -2.19%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.69%E -1.17%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-11 13:44
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.66%E -2.19%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.92%E -3.14%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 14:40
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -3.66%E -2.19%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -8.19%E -3.77%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 15:24
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -3.66%E -2.19%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -8.19%E -3.77%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 15:24
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -3.66%E -2.19%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -8.19%E -3.77%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 15:24
PMU (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -3.66%E -2.19%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -8.19%E -3.77%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 15:24
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -3.66%E -2.19%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -8.19%E -3.77%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 15:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -3.66%E -2.19%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -8.19%E -3.77%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 15:30
William Hill1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.23%E -2.55%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.53%E -1.55%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 13:44
Coolbet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.23%E -2.55%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.65%E -2.53%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 14:39
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.81%E -2.92%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.80%E -2.13%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 13:44
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.81%E -2.92%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.80%E -2.13%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 13:44
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.81%E -2.92%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.80%E -2.13%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 16:19
MyBookie.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -5.39%E -3.29%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -5.65%E -2.53%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 13:43
FanDuel1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.97%E -3.66%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.53%E -1.55%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 13:44
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.54%E -4.04%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.92%E -3.14%K -5.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-11 13:44
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.54%E -4.04%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.92%E -3.14%K -5.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-11 13:44
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.54%E -4.04%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.92%E -3.14%K -5.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-11 19:09
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.12%E -4.42%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.80%E -2.13%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-11 14:38
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.12%E -4.42%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.92%E -3.14%K -5.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-11 13:44
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.12%E -4.42%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.92%E -3.14%K -5.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-11 14:39
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.12%E -4.42%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.92%E -3.14%K -5.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-11 14:39
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.12%E -4.42%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.92%E -3.14%K -5.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-11 14:39
ReBet1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -8.27%E -5.20%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -9.03%E -4.20%K -7.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-11 16:04
Betclic (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 57.26%EV -8.27%E -5.20%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 42.74%EV -9.88%E -4.64%K -8.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-11 13:45
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.43%E -6.00%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.80%E -2.13%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-11 17:39
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.43%E -6.00%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.80%E -2.13%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-11 18:43
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -9.43%E -6.00%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.78%EV -11.15%E -5.31%K -10.14%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-11 16:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.