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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Saitama Seibu Lions

开赛时间： 2026-07-12 04:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

35 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (主队)

预测 57.70%1.73公平赔率
EV -2.49%
优势 -1.47%
Kelly -3.61%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.69

博彩公司预测分布
55.99%57.72%57.72%59.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.551.641.651.6964.52%60.92%60.61%59.17%最小值均值中位数最大值

Saitama Seibu Lions (客队)

预测 42.30%2.36公平赔率
EV -0.592%
优势 -0.252%
Kelly -0.438%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.35

博彩公司预测分布
40.26%42.28%42.28%44.01%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.062.222.202.3548.54%45.05%45.45%42.55%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (主队)：57.70%；Saitama Seibu Lions (客队)：42.30%。 对于“Saitama Seibu Lions (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.36。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.35，期望值为-0.592%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (35 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.49%E -1.47%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -9.05%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-12 03:55
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -2.28%E -0.989%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-12 03:30
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -8.21%E -3.78%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 03:34
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -8.21%E -3.78%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 03:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -8.21%E -3.78%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 03:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -8.21%E -3.78%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 03:35
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -8.21%E -3.78%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 03:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -8.21%E -3.78%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 03:34
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.64%E -2.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.71%E -1.18%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-11 13:44
1xBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -3.64%E -2.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -3.13%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-12 03:50
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.64%E -2.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.82%E -2.14%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 03:54
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.64%E -2.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.94%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 14:40
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.64%E -2.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.94%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 21:37
William Hill🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.22%E -2.54%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.55%E -1.56%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 13:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.592%E -0.252%K -0.438%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-12 03:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.592%E -0.252%K -0.438%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-12 03:34
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.82%E -2.14%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 13:44
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.82%E -2.14%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 13:44
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.94%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 03:53
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.05%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 21:44
Coolbet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.37%E -3.28%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -3.98%E -1.75%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 03:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -5.37%E -3.28%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -5.67%E -2.54%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 13:43
FanDuel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.95%E -3.65%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.55%E -1.56%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 13:44
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.53%E -4.03%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.94%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 03:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.53%E -4.03%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.94%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-11 13:44
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.53%E -4.03%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.94%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-11 13:44
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.53%E -4.03%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.94%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-11 19:09
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.11%E -4.41%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.94%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-11 13:44
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.11%E -4.41%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.94%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-11 14:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.11%E -4.41%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.94%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-11 14:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.11%E -4.41%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.94%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-11 14:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -8.26%E -5.19%K -14.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -9.05%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-12 03:49
Everygame🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.41%E -6.00%K -16.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.82%E -2.14%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-11 18:43
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -10.57%E -6.82%K -19.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -2.71%E -1.18%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 01:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.06%EV -10.57%E -6.82%K -19.21%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 42.94%EV -12.86%E -6.24%K -12.13%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-12 03:30
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。