The School of Odds

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Saitama Seibu Lions

2026-07-10 09:00 UTC — NPB

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local)

Prediction 60.91%1.64fair odd
EV -3.15%
Edge -1.98%
Kelly -5.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.10%60.86%60.95%61.56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.481.551.551.5968%65%65%63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit)

Prediction 39.09%2.56fair odd
EV -1.49%
Edge -0.593%
Kelly -0.982%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.44%39.14%39.05%39.90%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.252.412.422.5244%42%41%40%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.15%E -1.98%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.67%E -1.07%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-09 16:00
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.15%E -1.98%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.67%E -1.07%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-09 16:04
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -3.15%E -1.98%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -3.84%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-09 16:20
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -3.76%E -2.38%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -1.49%E -0.593%K -0.982%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-09 18:39
BetUS1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -3.76%E -2.38%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV -5.01%E -2.06%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-09 18:39
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.76%E -2.38%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.18%E -2.58%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 18:14
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.76%E -2.38%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.18%E -2.58%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 18:14
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.37%E -2.78%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.28%E -0.910%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-09 16:04
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.37%E -2.78%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.06%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-09 16:09
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -4.98%E -3.19%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -3.84%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 16:00
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.98%E -3.19%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.23%E -1.73%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 16:05
Coolbet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.98%E -3.19%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.23%E -1.73%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 16:12
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.98%E -3.19%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.18%E -2.58%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-09 16:04
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.98%E -3.19%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.14%E -3.46%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-09 16:00
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.59%E -3.61%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -5.01%E -2.06%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-09 19:05
Unibet (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.59%E -3.61%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -5.01%E -2.06%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-09 19:05
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.59%E -3.61%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -5.01%E -2.06%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-09 19:05
PMU (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.59%E -3.61%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -5.01%E -2.06%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-09 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.59%E -3.61%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -5.01%E -2.06%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-09 19:04
Bally Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.59%E -3.61%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -5.01%E -2.06%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-09 19:04
MyBookie.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 60.86%EV -5.59%E -3.61%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.14%EV -5.79%E -2.40%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-09 16:04
Bovada1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.23%E -1.73%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 18:39
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.18%E -2.58%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-09 16:25
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.18%E -2.58%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-09 16:04
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.97%E -2.93%K -5.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 16:00
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.97%E -2.93%K -5.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 16:04
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.97%E -2.93%K -5.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 16:04
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.97%E -2.93%K -5.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 16:04
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.14%E -3.46%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-09 18:10
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.42%E -4.88%K -14.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.14%E -3.46%K -6.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-09 16:49
Betclic (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.26%EV -8.03%E -5.32%K -15.74%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 39.74%EV -10.48%E -4.58%K -8.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-09 16:00
ReBet1.49I 67.11%NM 60.16%EV -9.24%E -6.20%K -18.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -12.05%E -5.35%K -9.64%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-09 16:04
Unibet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -9.85%E -6.66%K -20.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -12.05%E -5.35%K -9.64%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-09 16:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is the most recent time we recorded each book's price — on the default model, when it last changed, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.