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Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Saitama Seibu Lions

Kickoff: 2026-07-10 09:04 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local)

Prediction 59.26%1.69fair odd
EV -2.22%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -3.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.58%59.43%59.24%61.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.571.571.6570.42%63.66%63.69%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit)

Prediction 40.74%2.45fair odd
EV +1.03%
Edge +0.416%
Kelly +0.697%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.60%40.57%40.76%42.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.132.312.302.4846.95%43.27%43.48%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -6.96%E -4.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV +1.03%E +0.416%K +0.697%G +0.007%4.0%2026-07-10 09:00
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -8.74%E -5.67%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -0.191%E -0.078%K -0.132%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 09:00
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -8.74%E -5.67%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -0.191%E -0.078%K -0.132%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 08:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -8.74%E -5.67%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -0.191%E -0.078%K -0.132%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 08:59
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.00%E -2.47%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.23%E -0.928%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-10 08:59
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.00%E -2.47%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.23%E -0.928%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-10 08:59
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -5.77%E -3.63%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -3.04%E -1.28%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 09:00
Coolbet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.77%E -3.63%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -3.45%E -1.46%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 08:57
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.22%E -1.34%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-10 08:59
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.55%E -4.84%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 08:57
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.92%E -6.53%K -19.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-10 08:59
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -11.11%E -7.41%K -22.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-10 08:59
MyBookie.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -5.18%E -3.24%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -5.89%E -2.55%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 08:59
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.00%E -2.47%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 08:59
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.00%E -2.47%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 08:59
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.00%E -2.47%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 08:59
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.59%E -2.85%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 08:58
ReBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.77%E -3.63%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 08:59
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.77%E -3.63%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 08:59
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.96%E -4.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-10 08:59
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.96%E -4.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-10 08:59
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.55%E -4.84%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-10 08:59
Bally Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.01%EV -12.89%E -8.77%K -27.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.99%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-10 08:59
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.59%E -2.85%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-10 08:59
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.96%E -4.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-10 08:59
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.96%E -4.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-10 08:59
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.96%E -4.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-10 08:59
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.96%E -4.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-10 08:47
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.96%E -4.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-10 08:59
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.96%E -4.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-10 08:59
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -7.55%E -4.84%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-10 08:59
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -2.22%E -1.34%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -8.75%E -3.90%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 08:59
PMU (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 61.10%EV -15.85%E -11.16%K -37.73%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 38.90%EV -9.15%E -4.10%K -7.44%G +0.000%15.3%2026-07-10 09:00
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -8.14%E -5.25%K -14.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-10 08:58
Betclic (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 58.52%EV -10.51%E -6.96%K -20.62%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 41.48%EV -13.23%E -6.21%K -11.71%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-10 08:58
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.