L’École des cotes

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Saitama Seibu Lions

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-10 09:04 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local)

Prévision 59.26%1.69cote équitable
EV -2.22%
Avantage -1.34%
Kelly -3.41%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.58%59.43%59.24%61.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.421.571.571.6570.42%63.66%63.69%60.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Saitama Seibu Lions (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.74%2.45cote équitable
EV +1.03%
Avantage +0.416%
Kelly +0.697%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 2.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.60%40.57%40.76%42.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.132.312.302.4846.95%43.27%43.48%40.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -6.96%E -4.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV +1.03%E +0.416%K +0.697%G +0.007%4.0%2026-07-10 09:00
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -8.74%E -5.67%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -0.191%E -0.078%K -0.132%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 09:00
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -8.74%E -5.67%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -0.191%E -0.078%K -0.132%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 08:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -8.74%E -5.67%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -0.191%E -0.078%K -0.132%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 08:59
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.00%E -2.47%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.23%E -0.928%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-10 08:59
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.00%E -2.47%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.23%E -0.928%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-10 08:59
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -5.77%E -3.63%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -3.04%E -1.28%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 09:00
Coolbet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.77%E -3.63%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -3.45%E -1.46%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 08:57
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.22%E -1.34%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-10 08:59
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.55%E -4.84%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 08:57
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.92%E -6.53%K -19.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-10 08:59
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -11.11%E -7.41%K -22.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-10 08:59
MyBookie.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -5.18%E -3.24%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -5.89%E -2.55%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 08:59
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.00%E -2.47%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 08:59
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.00%E -2.47%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 08:59
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.00%E -2.47%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 08:59
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.59%E -2.85%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 08:58
ReBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.77%E -3.63%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 08:59
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.77%E -3.63%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 08:59
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.96%E -4.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-10 08:59
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.96%E -4.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-10 08:59
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.55%E -4.84%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-10 08:59
Bally Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.01%EV -12.89%E -8.77%K -27.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.99%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-10 08:59
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.59%E -2.85%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-10 08:59
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.96%E -4.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-10 08:59
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.96%E -4.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-10 08:59
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.96%E -4.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-10 08:59
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.96%E -4.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-10 08:47
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.96%E -4.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-10 08:59
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.96%E -4.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-10 08:59
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -7.55%E -4.84%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-10 08:59
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -2.22%E -1.34%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -8.75%E -3.90%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 08:59
PMU (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 61.10%EV -15.85%E -11.16%K -37.73%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 38.90%EV -9.15%E -4.10%K -7.44%G +0.000%15.3%2026-07-10 09:00
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -8.14%E -5.25%K -14.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-10 08:58
Betclic (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 58.52%EV -10.51%E -6.96%K -20.62%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 41.48%EV -13.23%E -6.21%K -11.71%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-10 08:58
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.