Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.63
assuming max odds 2.48
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local): 59.65%; Orix Buffaloes (Visit): 40.35%. For Orix Buffaloes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.478. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.480, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.068%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -6.35%E -4.04%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV +0.068%E +0.027%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 08:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -5.16%E -3.24%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.14%E -0.466%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 05:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.37%E -2.08%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -2.35%E -0.972%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-30 08:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.37%E -2.08%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.16%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-30 08:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.37%E -2.08%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.16%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-30 08:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.75%E -3.64%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.16%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 07:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.25%EV -2.77%E -1.70%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.75%EV -4.37%E -1.84%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-30 08:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -6.35%E -4.04%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -4.77%E -2.02%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 08:08 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.56%E -2.85%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 08:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.56%E -2.85%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 08:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.56%E -2.85%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 08:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.16%E -3.24%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 08:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.35%E -4.04%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 07:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.35%E -4.04%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 07:58 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.35%E -4.04%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 23:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.95%E -4.45%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 08:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.95%E -4.45%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 05:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.33%E -6.14%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-29 15:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.37%E -2.08%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 08:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.56%E -2.85%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 08:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.56%E -2.85%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 08:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.56%E -2.85%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 08:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.56%E -2.85%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 08:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.56%E -2.85%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 08:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.56%E -2.85%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 08:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.16%E -3.24%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 14:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.35%E -4.04%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-30 07:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.95%E -4.45%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 07:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.95%E -4.45%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 08:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.54%E -4.87%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-30 08:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.54%E -4.87%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-29 23:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.35%E -4.04%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.21%E -4.09%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-30 08:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.35%E -4.04%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.21%E -4.09%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-30 08:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.35%E -4.04%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.21%E -4.09%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-30 08:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -9.33%E -6.14%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.21%E -4.09%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-30 08:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.40%EV -11.12%E -7.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.60%EV -12.04%E -5.52%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-06-30 08:39 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.