L’École des cotes

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Orix Buffaloes

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-30 09:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local)

Prévision 59.65%1.68cote équitable
EV -2.77%
Avantage -1.70%
Kelly -4.40%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.67%59.71%59.62%61.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.491.581.581.6367.11%63.31%63.49%61.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Orix Buffaloes (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.35%2.48cote équitable
EV +0.068%
Avantage +0.027%
Kelly +0.046%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.77%40.29%40.38%41.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.182.332.332.4845.87%42.93%43.01%40.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -6.35%E -4.04%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV +0.068%E +0.027%K +0.046%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 08:09
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -5.16%E -3.24%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.14%E -0.466%K -0.788%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 05:00
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.37%E -2.08%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -2.35%E -0.972%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-30 08:50
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.37%E -2.08%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.16%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-30 08:49
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.37%E -2.08%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.16%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-30 08:50
FanDuel1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.75%E -3.64%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.16%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 07:59
1xBet1.63I 61.35%NM 59.25%EV -2.77%E -1.70%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.75%EV -4.37%E -1.84%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-30 08:49
MyBookie.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -6.35%E -4.04%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -4.77%E -2.02%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 08:08
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.56%E -2.85%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 08:49
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.56%E -2.85%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 08:49
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.56%E -2.85%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 08:49
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.16%E -3.24%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 08:49
Hard Rock Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.35%E -4.04%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 07:59
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.35%E -4.04%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 07:58
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.35%E -4.04%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 23:20
ReBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.95%E -4.45%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 08:10
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.95%E -4.45%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 05:00
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.33%E -6.14%K -17.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-29 15:29
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.37%E -2.08%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 08:50
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.56%E -2.85%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 08:49
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.56%E -2.85%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 08:49
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.56%E -2.85%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 08:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.56%E -2.85%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 08:49
Bally Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.56%E -2.85%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 08:50
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.56%E -2.85%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 08:49
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.16%E -3.24%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 14:09
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.35%E -4.04%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-30 07:59
Betway1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.95%E -4.45%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 07:59
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.95%E -4.45%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 08:09
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.54%E -4.87%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 08:49
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.54%E -4.87%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 23:19
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.35%E -4.04%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.21%E -4.09%K -7.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 08:19
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.35%E -4.04%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.21%E -4.09%K -7.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 08:19
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.35%E -4.04%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.21%E -4.09%K -7.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 08:19
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -9.33%E -6.14%K -17.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.21%E -4.09%K -7.37%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-30 08:49
Betclic (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 59.40%EV -11.12%E -7.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.60%EV -12.04%E -5.52%K -10.20%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-30 08:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.