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Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Orix Buffaloes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local)
Prediction 63.34%1.58fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.767%
Kelly -2.14%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.54%63.50%63.25%66.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.491.481.5670.42%67.33%67.57%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Orix Buffaloes (Visit)
Prediction 36.66%2.73fair odd
EV +2.66%
Edge +0.950%
Kelly +1.48%
Growth +0.039%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.65%36.50%36.75%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.592.582.8041.67%38.57%38.76%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local): 63.34%; Orix Buffaloes (Visit): 36.66%. For Orix Buffaloes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.73. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.66%.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -10.06%E -7.09%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +2.66%E +0.950%K +1.48%G +0.039% | 6.1% | 2026-04-03 08:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -10.06%E -7.09%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +2.66%E +0.950%K +1.48%G +0.039% | 6.1% | 2026-04-03 08:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -10.06%E -7.09%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +2.66%E +0.950%K +1.48%G +0.039% | 6.1% | 2026-04-03 08:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -10.06%E -7.09%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +2.66%E +0.950%K +1.48%G +0.039% | 6.1% | 2026-04-03 08:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.26%E -4.23%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.01%E -0.372%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-03 06:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.26%E -4.23%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.01%E -0.372%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-03 06:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.26%E -4.23%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.01%E -0.372%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 13:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -6.26%E -4.23%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -2.11%E -0.789%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-02 12:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -2.46%E -1.60%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -2.84%E -1.07%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-03 08:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -2.46%E -1.60%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -2.84%E -1.07%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-03 08:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.80%E -6.11%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.94%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-02 13:01 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.80%E -6.11%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.94%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-02 13:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.80%E -6.11%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.94%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-02 13:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.10%E -2.02%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.67%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-03 08:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.00%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.67%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-03 08:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.26%E -4.23%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.67%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-02 13:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -1.20%E -0.767%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -5.41%E -2.10%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-03 08:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.00%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-03 08:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.90%E -4.69%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 08:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.16%E -5.63%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-03 08:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -1.83%E -1.18%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -6.87%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 08:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -2.46%E -1.60%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -6.87%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-03 08:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.82%EV -1.83%E -1.18%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.18%EV -7.97%E -3.18%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 08:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.00%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.34%E -3.34%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-03 08:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.00%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.34%E -3.34%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-03 08:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.00%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.34%E -3.34%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-03 08:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -5.63%E -3.78%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.34%E -3.34%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 08:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -5.63%E -3.78%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.34%E -3.34%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 08:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.26%E -4.23%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.34%E -3.34%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-03 08:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.26%E -4.23%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.34%E -3.34%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-03 08:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.26%E -4.23%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.34%E -3.34%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-03 08:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.00%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.00%E -5.00%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-03 08:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -7.53%E -5.16%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -12.00%E -5.00%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-03 08:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.