默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Orix Buffaloes

开赛时间： 2026-04-03 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

63%

37%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (主队)

预测 63.34%1.58公平赔率

EV -1.20%

优势 -0.767%

Kelly -2.14%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.56

博彩公司预测分布

61.54%63.50%63.25%66.35%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.421.491.481.5670.42%67.33%67.57%64.10%最小值均值中位数最大值

Orix Buffaloes (客队)

预测 36.66%2.73公平赔率

EV +2.66%

优势 +0.950%

Kelly +1.48%

增长率 +0.039%

假设最高赔率为 2.80

博彩公司预测分布

33.65%36.50%36.75%38.46%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.402.592.582.8041.67%38.57%38.76%35.71%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (主队)：63.34%；Orix Buffaloes (客队)：36.66%。对于“Orix Buffaloes (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.73。当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.80，对应+2.66%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
BetRivers🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -10.06%E -7.09%K -23.96%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +2.66%E +0.950%K +1.48%G +0.039%	6.1%	2026-04-03 08:35
PMU (FR)🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -10.06%E -7.09%K -23.96%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +2.66%E +0.950%K +1.48%G +0.039%	6.1%	2026-04-03 08:35
Unibet🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -10.06%E -7.09%K -23.96%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +2.66%E +0.950%K +1.48%G +0.039%	6.1%	2026-04-03 08:35
Bally Bet🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -10.06%E -7.09%K -23.96%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +2.66%E +0.950%K +1.48%G +0.039%	6.1%	2026-04-03 08:35
NordicBet🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.26%E -4.23%K -13.05%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.01%E -0.372%K -0.591%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-04-03 06:55
Betsson🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.26%E -4.23%K -13.05%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.01%E -0.372%K -0.591%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-04-03 06:55
William Hill🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.26%E -4.23%K -13.05%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.01%E -0.372%K -0.591%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-04-02 13:10
Coolbet🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -6.26%E -4.23%K -13.05%G +0.000%	2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -2.11%E -0.789%K -1.26%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-04-02 12:59
LowVig.ag🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -2.46%E -1.60%K -4.56%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -2.84%E -1.07%K -1.72%G +0.000%	2.7%	2026-04-03 08:55
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -2.46%E -1.60%K -4.56%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -2.84%E -1.07%K -1.72%G +0.000%	2.7%	2026-04-03 08:55
888sport🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.80%E -6.11%K -19.99%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.94%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-04-02 13:01
888sport (SE)🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.80%E -6.11%K -19.99%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.94%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-04-02 13:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.80%E -6.11%K -19.99%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.94%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-04-02 13:00
Fanatics🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.10%E -2.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.67%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-04-03 08:50
FanDuel🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.00%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.67%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-04-03 08:50
Caesars🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.26%E -4.23%K -13.05%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.67%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-04-02 13:00
Pinnacle🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -1.20%E -0.767%K -2.14%G +0.000%	2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -5.41%E -2.10%K -3.42%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-04-03 08:50
BetMGM🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.00%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-04-03 08:50
Fliff🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.90%E -4.69%K -14.67%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-04-03 08:55
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.16%E -5.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-04-03 08:50
1xBet🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -1.83%E -1.18%K -3.33%G +0.000%	2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -6.87%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-04-03 08:50
DraftKings🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -2.46%E -1.60%K -4.56%G +0.000%	2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -6.87%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-04-03 08:54
BetUS🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.82%EV -1.83%E -1.18%K -3.33%G +0.000%	2.51I 39.84%NM 38.18%EV -7.97%E -3.18%K -5.28%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-04-03 08:55
BoyleSports🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.00%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.34%E -3.34%K -5.56%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-04-03 08:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.00%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.34%E -3.34%K -5.56%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-04-03 08:50
Bovada🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.00%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.34%E -3.34%K -5.56%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-04-03 08:49
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -5.63%E -3.78%K -11.49%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.34%E -3.34%K -5.56%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-04-03 08:54
ReBet🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -5.63%E -3.78%K -11.49%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.34%E -3.34%K -5.56%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-04-03 08:50
theScore Bet🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.26%E -4.23%K -13.05%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.34%E -3.34%K -5.56%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-04-03 08:50
Betway🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.26%E -4.23%K -13.05%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.34%E -3.34%K -5.56%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-04-03 08:50
Coral🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.26%E -4.23%K -13.05%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.34%E -3.34%K -5.56%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-04-03 08:50
Everygame🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.00%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.00%E -5.00%K -8.57%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-04-03 08:55
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -7.53%E -5.16%K -16.37%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -12.00%E -5.00%K -8.57%G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-04-03 08:50

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。