Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.10
assuming max odds 1.91
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local): 48.60%; Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit): 51.40%. For Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.06. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.06%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +2.06%E +0.983%K +1.88%G +0.039% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -9.03%E -5.10%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 04:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +2.06%E +0.983%K +1.88%G +0.039% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -9.03%E -5.10%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 04:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.366%E -0.178%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.48%E -4.16%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 04:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.33%EV -2.31%E -1.15%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.67%EV -3.37%E -1.79%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-11 04:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.80%E -1.40%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.94%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 04:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -3.77%E -1.90%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -3.37%E -1.79%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-11 04:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.74%E -2.42%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.91%E -2.66%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 04:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.23%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.89%E -2.08%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 04:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.23%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.94%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-11 04:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.23%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.48%E -4.16%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 04:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.23%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.48%E -4.16%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 04:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.23%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.48%E -4.16%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 04:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.23%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.48%E -4.16%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 04:28 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -6.20%E -3.21%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -6.97%E -3.85%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 04:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -6.20%E -3.21%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -6.97%E -3.85%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 04:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.68%E -3.48%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.37%E -1.79%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 04:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.68%E -3.48%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.37%E -1.79%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 04:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.17%E -3.75%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.83%E -0.958%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-10 21:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.17%E -3.75%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.91%E -2.66%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.17%E -3.75%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.91%E -2.66%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.17%E -3.75%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.91%E -2.66%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.17%E -3.75%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.91%E -2.66%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.17%E -3.75%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.91%E -2.66%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 15:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.17%E -3.75%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.91%E -2.66%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 15:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.17%E -3.75%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.91%E -2.66%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 04:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.17%E -3.75%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.94%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-10 14:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.17%E -3.75%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.94%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 04:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.17%E -3.75%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.48%E -4.16%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 04:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.17%E -3.75%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.48%E -4.16%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 04:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.17%E -3.75%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.48%E -4.16%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 04:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.17%E -3.75%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.48%E -4.16%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 04:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.66%E -4.03%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.48%E -4.16%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 04:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%EV -8.63%E -4.59%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65%EV -9.54%E -5.42%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 04:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.09%E -5.45%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.91%E -2.66%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.