默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

开赛时间： 2026-04-11 05:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

49%

51%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (主队)

预测 48.60%2.06公平赔率

EV +2.06%

优势 +0.983%

Kelly +1.88%

增长率 +0.039%

假设最高赔率为 2.10

博彩公司预测分布

45.74%48.42%48.52%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.851.941.922.1054.05%51.54%52.22%47.62%最小值均值中位数最大值

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (客队)

预测 51.40%1.95公平赔率

EV -1.83%

优势 -0.958%

Kelly -2.01%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.91

博彩公司预测分布

50.00%51.58%51.48%54.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.761.831.831.9156.82%54.67%54.64%52.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (主队)：48.60%；Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (客队)：51.40%。对于“Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.06。当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.10，对应+2.06%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
LowVig.ag🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +2.06%E +0.983%K +1.88%G +0.039%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -9.03%E -5.10%K -11.72%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-04-11 04:54
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +2.06%E +0.983%K +1.88%G +0.039%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -9.03%E -5.10%K -11.72%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-04-11 04:55
DraftKings🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.366%E -0.178%K -0.348%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.48%E -4.16%K -9.35%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-04-11 04:54
Pinnacle🎯	2.01I 49.75%NM 48.33%EV -2.31%E -1.15%K -2.29%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 51.67%EV -3.37%E -1.79%K -3.83%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-04-11 04:30
Fanatics🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.80%E -1.40%K -2.80%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.94%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-04-11 04:39
1xBet🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -3.77%E -1.90%K -3.84%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -3.37%E -1.79%K -3.83%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-04-11 04:30
FanDuel🎯	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.74%E -2.42%K -4.94%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.91%E -2.66%K -5.78%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-04-11 04:40
Coolbet🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.23%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.89%E -2.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-04-11 04:40
BoyleSports🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.23%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.94%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-04-11 04:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.23%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.48%E -4.16%K -9.35%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-04-11 04:39
ReBet🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.23%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.48%E -4.16%K -9.35%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-04-11 04:39
theScore Bet🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.23%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.48%E -4.16%K -9.35%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-04-11 04:39
Bovada🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.23%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.48%E -4.16%K -9.35%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-04-11 04:28
BetUS🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -6.20%E -3.21%K -6.66%G +0.000%	1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -6.97%E -3.85%K -8.60%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-04-11 04:55
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -6.20%E -3.21%K -6.66%G +0.000%	1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -6.97%E -3.85%K -8.60%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-04-11 04:44
NordicBet🎯	1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.68%E -3.48%K -7.27%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.37%E -1.79%K -3.83%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-04-11 04:55
Betsson🎯	1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.68%E -3.48%K -7.27%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.37%E -1.79%K -3.83%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-04-11 04:55
William Hill🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.17%E -3.75%K -7.88%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.83%E -0.958%K -2.01%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-04-10 21:54
BetRivers🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.17%E -3.75%K -7.88%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.91%E -2.66%K -5.78%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-04-10 15:35
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.17%E -3.75%K -7.88%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.91%E -2.66%K -5.78%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-04-10 15:35
Unibet🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.17%E -3.75%K -7.88%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.91%E -2.66%K -5.78%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-04-10 15:35
Bally Bet🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.17%E -3.75%K -7.88%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.91%E -2.66%K -5.78%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-04-10 15:35
PMU (FR)🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.17%E -3.75%K -7.88%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.91%E -2.66%K -5.78%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-04-10 15:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.17%E -3.75%K -7.88%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.91%E -2.66%K -5.78%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-04-10 15:45
BetMGM🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.17%E -3.75%K -7.88%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.91%E -2.66%K -5.78%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-04-11 04:40
Caesars🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.17%E -3.75%K -7.88%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.94%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-04-10 14:14
Coral🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.17%E -3.75%K -7.88%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.94%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-04-11 04:40
Betway🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.17%E -3.75%K -7.88%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.48%E -4.16%K -9.35%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-04-11 04:39
888sport🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.17%E -3.75%K -7.88%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.48%E -4.16%K -9.35%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-04-11 04:40
888sport (SE)🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.17%E -3.75%K -7.88%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.48%E -4.16%K -9.35%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-04-11 04:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.17%E -3.75%K -7.88%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.48%E -4.16%K -9.35%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-04-11 04:40
Everygame🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.66%E -4.03%K -8.51%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.48%E -4.16%K -9.35%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-04-11 04:25
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%EV -8.63%E -4.59%K -9.80%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65%EV -9.54%E -5.42%K -12.55%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-04-11 04:50
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.09%E -5.45%K -11.87%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.91%E -2.66%K -5.78%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-04-11 04:45

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。