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Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local)
Prediction 53.11%1.88fair odd
EV +5.70%
Edge +2.86%
Kelly +5.76%
Growth +0.328%
assuming max odds 1.99
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.18%52.91%53.15%54.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.791.801.9960.24%55.94%55.56%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit)
Prediction 46.89%2.13fair odd
EV -1.54%
Edge -0.734%
Kelly -1.40%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.41%47.09%46.85%51.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.981.982.1054.05%50.40%50.51%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local): 53.11%; Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit): 46.89%. For Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.88. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.99, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.70%.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV +5.70%E +2.86%K +5.76%G +0.328% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -13.26%E -7.17%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-21 03:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -0.144%E -0.077%K -0.164%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -9.98%E -5.20%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-21 03:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -0.675%E -0.361%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -12.32%E -6.59%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-20 13:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -1.74%E -0.939%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -5.76%E -2.87%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-21 03:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.33%E -1.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.23%E -3.11%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-21 03:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -3.86%E -2.13%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -1.54%E -0.734%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-21 03:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.24%EV -3.86%E -2.13%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -7.17%E -3.62%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-21 03:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -3.86%E -2.13%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -7.64%E -3.88%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-21 03:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -3.86%E -2.13%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -7.64%E -3.88%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-21 03:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -3.86%E -2.13%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -7.64%E -3.88%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-21 03:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -3.86%E -2.13%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -7.64%E -3.88%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-21 03:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -3.86%E -2.13%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -7.64%E -3.88%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-21 03:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%EV -3.86%E -2.13%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -9.04%E -4.66%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-21 03:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.89%E -1.90%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-21 03:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.89%E -1.90%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-21 03:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.23%E -3.11%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-21 03:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.23%E -3.11%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-21 03:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -10.45%E -5.47%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-21 03:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -10.45%E -5.47%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-21 03:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -10.45%E -5.47%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-21 03:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.99%E -3.38%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.54%E -0.734%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-21 03:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.99%E -3.38%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.42%E -1.66%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-21 03:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.99%E -3.38%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.89%E -1.90%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-21 03:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.99%E -3.38%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.23%E -3.11%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-21 03:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.05%E -4.03%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.57%E -4.40%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-21 03:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.05%E -4.03%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.57%E -4.40%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-21 03:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.05%E -4.03%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.57%E -4.40%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-21 03:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.58%E -4.36%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.89%E -1.90%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-21 03:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.58%E -4.36%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.89%E -1.90%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-21 03:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.58%E -4.36%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.23%E -3.11%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-21 03:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -8.11%E -4.69%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -2.48%E -1.19%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-21 03:48 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.11%E -4.69%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.23%E -3.11%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-21 03:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -9.17%E -5.36%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -6.23%E -3.11%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-21 03:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.55%EV -9.70%E -5.71%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.45%EV -8.10%E -4.14%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-21 03:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.37%EV -11.83%E -7.13%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.63%EV -10.92%E -5.75%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-06-21 03:48 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.