默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

开赛时间： 2026-06-21 04:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

35 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

53%

47%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (主队)

预测 53.11%1.88公平赔率

EV +5.70%

优势 +2.86%

Kelly +5.76%

增长率 +0.328%

假设最高赔率为 1.99

博彩公司预测分布

48.18%52.91%53.15%54.59%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.661.791.801.9960.24%55.94%55.56%50.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (客队)

预测 46.89%2.13公平赔率

EV -1.54%

优势 -0.734%

Kelly -1.40%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.10

博彩公司预测分布

45.41%47.09%46.85%51.82%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.851.981.982.1054.05%50.40%50.51%47.62%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (主队)：53.11%；Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (客队)：46.89%。对于“Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.88。当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为1.99，对应+5.70%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (35 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
William Hill🎯	1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV +5.70%E +2.86%K +5.76%G +0.328%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -13.26%E -7.17%K -15.60%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-06-21 03:09
NordicBet🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -0.144%E -0.077%K -0.164%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -9.98%E -5.20%K -10.85%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-21 03:49
Caesars🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -0.675%E -0.361%K -0.776%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -12.32%E -6.59%K -14.17%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-06-20 13:19
1xBet🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -1.74%E -0.939%K -2.04%G +0.000%	2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -5.76%E -2.87%K -5.70%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-06-21 03:49
Coolbet🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.33%E -1.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.23%E -3.11%K -6.23%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-06-21 03:50
Pinnacle🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -3.86%E -2.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -1.54%E -0.734%K -1.40%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-06-21 03:50
Unibet🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.24%EV -3.86%E -2.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -7.17%E -3.62%K -7.31%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-21 03:50
PMU (FR)🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -3.86%E -2.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -7.64%E -3.88%K -7.87%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-21 03:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -3.86%E -2.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -7.64%E -3.88%K -7.87%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-21 03:49
BetRivers🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -3.86%E -2.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -7.64%E -3.88%K -7.87%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-21 03:49
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -3.86%E -2.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -7.64%E -3.88%K -7.87%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-21 03:49
Bally Bet🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -3.86%E -2.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -7.64%E -3.88%K -7.87%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-21 03:50
BetUS🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%EV -3.86%E -2.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -9.04%E -4.66%K -9.62%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-06-21 03:49
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.49%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.89%E -1.90%K -3.70%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-06-21 03:39
LowVig.ag🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.49%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.89%E -1.90%K -3.70%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-06-21 03:39
Betsson🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.49%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.23%E -3.11%K -6.23%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-21 03:39
BetMGM🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.49%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.23%E -3.11%K -6.23%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-21 03:50
888sport🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.49%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -10.45%E -5.47%K -11.48%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-06-21 03:39
888sport (SE)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.49%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -10.45%E -5.47%K -11.48%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-06-21 03:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.49%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -10.45%E -5.47%K -11.48%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-06-21 03:39
Fanatics🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.99%E -3.38%K -7.78%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.54%E -0.734%K -1.40%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-06-21 03:39
FanDuel🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.99%E -3.38%K -7.78%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.42%E -1.66%K -3.22%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-06-21 03:40
DraftKings🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.99%E -3.38%K -7.78%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.89%E -1.90%K -3.70%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-21 03:39
theScore Bet🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.99%E -3.38%K -7.78%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.23%E -3.11%K -6.23%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-06-21 03:39
Everygame🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.05%E -4.03%K -9.40%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.57%E -4.40%K -9.03%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-06-21 03:29
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.05%E -4.03%K -9.40%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.57%E -4.40%K -9.03%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-06-21 03:39
Coral🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.05%E -4.03%K -9.40%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.57%E -4.40%K -9.03%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-06-21 03:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.58%E -4.36%K -10.24%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.89%E -1.90%K -3.70%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-06-21 03:39
Bovada🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.58%E -4.36%K -10.24%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.89%E -1.90%K -3.70%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-06-21 03:29
ReBet🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.58%E -4.36%K -10.24%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.23%E -3.11%K -6.23%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-06-21 03:39
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -8.11%E -4.69%K -11.11%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -2.48%E -1.19%K -2.30%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-21 03:48
BoyleSports🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.11%E -4.69%K -11.11%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.23%E -3.11%K -6.23%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-06-21 03:39
Betway🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -9.17%E -5.36%K -12.92%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -6.23%E -3.11%K -6.23%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-06-21 03:39
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 53.55%EV -9.70%E -5.71%K -13.86%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 46.45%EV -8.10%E -4.14%K -8.44%G +0.000%	9.8%	2026-06-21 03:49
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 53.37%EV -11.83%E -7.13%K -17.92%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 46.63%EV -10.92%E -5.75%K -12.13%G +0.000%	12.9%	2026-06-21 03:48

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。