The School of Odds
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Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

Kickoff: 2026-08-19 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local)

Prediction 48.03%2.08fair odd
EV +2.30%
Edge +1.08%
Kelly +2.04%
Growth +0.047%

assuming max odds 2.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.24%47.81%48.04%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.971.962.1354.95%50.72%51.02%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 51.97%1.92fair odd
EV -2.81%
Edge -1.50%
Kelly -3.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.19%51.96%54.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.791.801.8758.48%55.82%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local): 48.03%; Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit): 51.97%. For Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.08. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.13, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.30%.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV +2.30%E +1.08%K +2.04%G +0.047%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -8.53%E -4.85%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-19 04:29
PMU (FR)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -1.06%E -0.516%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -9.57%E -5.50%K -12.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 04:29
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -1.06%E -0.516%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -9.57%E -5.50%K -12.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 04:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -1.06%E -0.516%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -9.57%E -5.50%K -12.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 04:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -1.06%E -0.516%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -9.57%E -5.50%K -12.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 04:29
Unibet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -1.06%E -0.516%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -9.57%E -5.50%K -12.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 04:29
Bally Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -1.06%E -0.516%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -9.57%E -5.50%K -12.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 04:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -2.50%E -1.23%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -5.93%E -3.28%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-19 04:54
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -2.98%E -1.48%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.81%E -1.50%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-19 04:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -3.46%E -1.72%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-19 04:49
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.41%E -2.97%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 04:34
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.01%E -4.53%K -10.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-18 13:15
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -11.13%E -6.51%K -15.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-19 04:49
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.90%E -2.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.85%E -2.08%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-19 04:49
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.90%E -2.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.85%E -2.08%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-19 04:49
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.90%E -2.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.45%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-18 22:00
FanDuel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.87%E -2.99%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.85%E -2.08%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 04:29
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 04:25
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.45%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-19 04:25
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.45%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-19 04:28
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.05%E -5.17%K -12.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-19 04:29
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.05%E -5.17%K -12.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-18 22:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -6.83%E -3.52%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 04:33
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.27%E -4.33%K -9.08%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-19 04:28
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.27%E -4.33%K -9.08%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-19 04:28
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.27%E -4.33%K -9.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.45%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-19 04:29
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.27%E -4.33%K -9.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.45%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-19 04:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.27%E -4.33%K -9.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.45%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-19 04:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.27%E -4.33%K -9.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.45%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-19 04:34
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.27%E -4.33%K -9.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.45%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-19 04:29
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.19%E -5.45%K -11.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.81%E -1.50%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-19 04:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.48%EV -10.67%E -5.74%K -12.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.52%EV -9.05%E -5.17%K -12.07%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-19 04:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.59%EV -12.59%E -6.92%K -15.35%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.41%EV -10.61%E -6.17%K -14.73%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-19 04:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.