默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

开赛时间： 2026-08-19 05:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

48%

52%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (主队)

预测 48.03%2.08公平赔率

EV +2.30%

优势 +1.08%

Kelly +2.04%

增长率 +0.047%

假设最高赔率为 2.13

博彩公司预测分布

45.24%47.81%48.04%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.821.971.962.1354.95%50.72%51.02%46.95%最小值均值中位数最大值

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (客队)

预测 51.97%1.92公平赔率

EV -2.81%

优势 -1.50%

Kelly -3.23%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.87

博彩公司预测分布

50.00%52.19%51.96%54.76%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.711.791.801.8758.48%55.82%55.56%53.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (主队)：48.03%；Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (客队)：51.97%。对于“Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.08。当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.13，对应+2.30%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
1xBet🎯	2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV +2.30%E +1.08%K +2.04%G +0.047%	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -8.53%E -4.85%K -11.22%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-08-19 04:29
PMU (FR)🎯	2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -1.06%E -0.516%K -1.00%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -9.57%E -5.50%K -12.93%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-19 04:29
BetRivers🎯	2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -1.06%E -0.516%K -1.00%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -9.57%E -5.50%K -12.93%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-19 04:29
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -1.06%E -0.516%K -1.00%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -9.57%E -5.50%K -12.93%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-19 04:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -1.06%E -0.516%K -1.00%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -9.57%E -5.50%K -12.93%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-19 04:29
Unibet🎯	2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -1.06%E -0.516%K -1.00%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -9.57%E -5.50%K -12.93%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-19 04:29
Bally Bet🎯	2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -1.06%E -0.516%K -1.00%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -9.57%E -5.50%K -12.93%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-19 04:29
LowVig.ag🎯	2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -2.50%E -1.23%K -2.43%G +0.000%	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -5.93%E -3.28%K -7.32%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-08-19 04:54
Pinnacle🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -2.98%E -1.48%K -2.92%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.81%E -1.50%K -3.23%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-08-19 04:54
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -3.46%E -1.72%K -3.43%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-08-19 04:49
Coolbet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.41%E -2.97%K -6.60%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-19 04:34
Caesars🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.01%E -4.53%K -10.40%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-08-18 13:15
Fanatics🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -11.13%E -6.51%K -15.67%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-08-19 04:49
NordicBet🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.90%E -2.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.85%E -2.08%K -4.53%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-19 04:49
Betsson🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.90%E -2.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.85%E -2.08%K -4.53%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-19 04:49
BetMGM🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.90%E -2.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.45%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-18 22:00
FanDuel🎯	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.87%E -2.99%K -6.11%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.85%E -2.08%K -4.53%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-19 04:29
DraftKings🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-19 04:25
theScore Bet🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.45%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-19 04:25
Bovada🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.45%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-19 04:28
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.05%E -5.17%K -12.07%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-08-19 04:29
Coral🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.05%E -5.17%K -12.07%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-08-18 22:00
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -6.83%E -3.52%K -7.26%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-19 04:33
BoyleSports🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.27%E -4.33%K -9.08%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-19 04:28
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.27%E -4.33%K -9.08%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-19 04:28
ReBet🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.27%E -4.33%K -9.08%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.45%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-19 04:29
888sport🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.27%E -4.33%K -9.08%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.45%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-19 04:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.27%E -4.33%K -9.08%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.45%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-19 04:34
888sport (SE)🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.27%E -4.33%K -9.08%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.45%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-19 04:34
Betway🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.27%E -4.33%K -9.08%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.45%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-19 04:29
BetUS🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.19%E -5.45%K -11.71%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.81%E -1.50%K -3.23%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-19 04:49
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.86I 53.76%NM 48.48%EV -10.67%E -5.74%K -12.40%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 51.52%EV -9.05%E -5.17%K -12.07%G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-08-19 04:49
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 48.59%EV -12.59%E -6.92%K -15.35%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 51.41%EV -10.61%E -6.17%K -14.73%G +0.000%	13.1%	2026-08-19 04:34

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。