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Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local)
Prediction 57.45%1.74fair odd
EV +0.540%
Edge +0.309%
Kelly +0.720%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.70%57.39%57.59%58.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.641.631.7563.69%60.95%61.35%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit)
Prediction 42.55%2.35fair odd
EV -2.14%
Edge -0.930%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.10%42.61%42.41%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.032.202.202.3049.26%45.44%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local): 57.45%; Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit): 42.55%. For Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.74. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.540%.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.70%EV +0.540%E +0.309%K +0.720%G +0.004% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.30%EV -13.63%E -6.71%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-15 03:54 |
| 1xBet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -1.76%E -1.03%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV -5.97%E -2.70%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-15 03:53 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -2.33%E -1.37%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -5.54%E -2.50%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-15 03:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -2.33%E -1.37%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -5.54%E -2.50%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-15 03:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.91%E -1.72%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.52%E -3.96%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-15 03:55 |
| Bovada | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -2.91%E -1.72%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -10.65%E -5.07%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-15 03:53 |
| Pinnacle | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.48%E -2.07%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -2.14%E -0.930%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-15 03:45 |
| Betsson | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.48%E -2.07%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.39%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-15 03:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.48%E -2.07%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.39%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-15 03:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.52%E -3.96%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-15 03:54 |
| William Hill | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.63%E -2.79%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -2.99%E -1.31%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-14 13:54 |
| FanDuel | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.63%E -2.79%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.69%E -2.09%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-15 03:55 |
| ReBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.21%E -3.15%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.52%E -3.96%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-15 03:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.78%E -3.52%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -3.41%E -1.50%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-14 15:29 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -5.78%E -3.52%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -5.54%E -2.50%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-15 03:53 |
| BetRivers | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.35%E -3.90%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-15 03:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.35%E -3.90%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-15 03:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.35%E -3.90%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-15 03:49 |
| Unibet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.35%E -3.90%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-15 03:49 |
| Bally Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.35%E -3.90%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-15 03:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.35%E -3.90%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-15 03:49 |
| Caesars | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.93%E -4.28%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-14 15:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.93%E -4.28%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.39%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-15 03:45 |
| Betway | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.93%E -4.28%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.52%E -3.96%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-15 03:44 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.93%E -4.28%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.52%E -3.96%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-15 03:54 |
| Everygame | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.93%E -4.28%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.52%E -3.96%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-15 03:43 |
| BetMGM | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.50%E -4.66%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.14%E -0.930%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-14 22:35 |
| 888sport | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.50%E -4.66%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.39%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-14 14:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.50%E -4.66%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.39%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-14 14:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.50%E -4.66%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.39%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-14 14:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.08%E -5.05%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.39%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-15 03:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 56.91%EV -8.65%E -5.44%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.09%EV -10.65%E -5.07%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-15 03:54 |
| Coral | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.80%E -6.24%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-14 22:33 |
| Fanatics | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -9.80%E -6.24%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -6.39%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-15 03:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.39%EV -9.80%E -6.24%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 43.61%EV -13.63%E -6.71%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-15 03:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.