L’École des cotes

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-15 04:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local)

Prévision 57.45%1.74cote équitable
EV +0.540%
Avantage +0.309%
Kelly +0.720%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.70%57.39%57.59%58.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.641.631.7563.69%60.95%61.35%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.55%2.35cote équitable
EV -2.14%
Avantage -0.930%
Kelly -1.64%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.10%42.61%42.41%46.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.032.202.202.3049.26%45.44%45.45%43.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetUS1.75I 57.14%NM 53.70%EV +0.540%E +0.309%K +0.720%G +0.004%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.30%EV -13.63%E -6.71%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-15 03:54
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -1.76%E -1.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV -5.97%E -2.70%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-15 03:53
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -2.33%E -1.37%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -5.54%E -2.50%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-15 03:54
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -2.33%E -1.37%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -5.54%E -2.50%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-15 03:55
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.91%E -1.72%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.52%E -3.96%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-15 03:55
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -2.91%E -1.72%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -10.65%E -5.07%K -9.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-15 03:53
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.48%E -2.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -2.14%E -0.930%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-15 03:45
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.48%E -2.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.39%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-15 03:50
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.48%E -2.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.39%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-15 03:50
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.52%E -3.96%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-15 03:54
William Hill1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.63%E -2.79%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -2.99%E -1.31%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-14 13:54
FanDuel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.63%E -2.79%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.69%E -2.09%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-15 03:55
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.21%E -3.15%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.52%E -3.96%K -7.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-15 03:55
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.78%E -3.52%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -3.41%E -1.50%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-14 15:29
MyBookie.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -5.78%E -3.52%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -5.54%E -2.50%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-15 03:53
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.35%E -3.90%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-15 03:50
PMU (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.35%E -3.90%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-15 03:49
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.35%E -3.90%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-15 03:49
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.35%E -3.90%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-15 03:49
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.35%E -3.90%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-15 03:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.35%E -3.90%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-15 03:49
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.93%E -4.28%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-14 15:05
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.93%E -4.28%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.39%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-15 03:45
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.93%E -4.28%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.52%E -3.96%K -7.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-15 03:44
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.93%E -4.28%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.52%E -3.96%K -7.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-15 03:54
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.93%E -4.28%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.52%E -3.96%K -7.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-15 03:43
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.50%E -4.66%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.14%E -0.930%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-14 22:35
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.50%E -4.66%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.39%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 14:59
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.50%E -4.66%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.39%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 14:59
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.50%E -4.66%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.39%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 14:59
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.08%E -5.05%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.39%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-15 03:54
Unibet (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 56.91%EV -8.65%E -5.44%K -14.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.09%EV -10.65%E -5.07%K -9.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-15 03:54
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.80%E -6.24%K -17.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-14 22:33
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -9.80%E -6.24%K -17.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -6.39%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-15 03:55
Betclic (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.39%EV -9.80%E -6.24%K -17.20%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 43.61%EV -13.63%E -6.71%K -13.23%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-15 03:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.