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Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Chiba Lotte Marines
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local)
Prediction 63.71%1.57fair odd
EV -0.608%
Edge -0.390%
Kelly -1.09%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.91%63.85%63.72%66.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.471.471.5671.43%67.97%68.03%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit)
Prediction 36.29%2.76fair odd
EV +1.60%
Edge +0.573%
Kelly +0.892%
Growth +0.014%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.65%36.15%36.28%39.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.342.612.602.8042.74%38.26%38.46%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local): 63.71%; Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit): 36.29%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.76. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.60%.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -9.53%E -6.71%K -22.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +1.60%E +0.573%K +0.892%G +0.014% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 03:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -9.53%E -6.71%K -22.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +1.60%E +0.573%K +0.892%G +0.014% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 03:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -9.53%E -6.71%K -22.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +1.60%E +0.573%K +0.892%G +0.014% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 03:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -9.53%E -6.71%K -22.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +1.60%E +0.573%K +0.892%G +0.014% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 03:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -9.53%E -6.71%K -22.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +1.60%E +0.573%K +0.892%G +0.014% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 03:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -9.53%E -6.71%K -22.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +1.60%E +0.573%K +0.892%G +0.014% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 03:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -6.34%E -4.31%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -1.30%E -0.477%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 03:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.34%E -4.31%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.02%E -0.750%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 03:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -10.80%E -7.72%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -2.02%E -0.750%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-30 03:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.96%EV -3.79%E -2.51%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.04%EV -2.75%E -1.03%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-30 03:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.72%EV -3.16%E -2.08%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.28%EV -3.11%E -1.17%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-30 03:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.62%E -5.25%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -3.84%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 15:18 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.25%E -5.73%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.93%E -1.88%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-30 01:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.25%E -5.73%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.93%E -1.88%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-30 01:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.25%E -5.73%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.93%E -1.88%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-30 01:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.81%EV -5.71%E -3.86%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.19%EV -5.29%E -2.03%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 03:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.16%E -2.08%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 03:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.16%E -2.08%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 03:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.43%E -2.95%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 03:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.71%E -3.86%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 03:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.62%E -5.25%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 03:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -0.608%E -0.390%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -6.74%E -2.62%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-30 03:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -0.608%E -0.390%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -6.74%E -2.62%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-30 03:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.79%E -2.51%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 03:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.07%E -3.40%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 03:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.71%E -3.86%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 03:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.62%E -5.25%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-30 03:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -0.608%E -0.390%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -9.28%E -3.71%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 03:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.71%E -3.86%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.28%E -3.71%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-30 03:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.71%E -3.86%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.28%E -3.71%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-30 03:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.25%E -5.73%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.28%E -3.71%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-30 03:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -1.88%E -1.22%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -12.91%E -5.38%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 03:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.25%E -5.73%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -12.91%E -5.38%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-30 03:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.23%EV -9.53%E -6.71%K -22.69%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 37.77%EV -15.09%E -6.45%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-30 03:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.