默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Chiba Lotte Marines

开赛时间： 2026-08-30 04:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

64%

36%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (主队)

预测 63.71%1.57公平赔率

EV -0.608%

优势 -0.390%

Kelly -1.09%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.56

博彩公司预测分布

60.91%63.85%63.72%66.35%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.401.471.471.5671.43%67.97%68.03%64.10%最小值均值中位数最大值

Chiba Lotte Marines (客队)

预测 36.29%2.76公平赔率

EV +1.60%

优势 +0.573%

Kelly +0.892%

增长率 +0.014%

假设最高赔率为 2.80

博彩公司预测分布

33.65%36.15%36.28%39.09%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.342.612.602.8042.74%38.26%38.46%35.71%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (主队)：63.71%；Chiba Lotte Marines (客队)：36.29%。对于“Chiba Lotte Marines (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.76。当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.80，对应+1.60%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
Unibet🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -9.53%E -6.71%K -22.69%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +1.60%E +0.573%K +0.892%G +0.014%	6.1%	2026-08-30 03:50
BetRivers🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -9.53%E -6.71%K -22.69%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +1.60%E +0.573%K +0.892%G +0.014%	6.1%	2026-08-30 03:50
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -9.53%E -6.71%K -22.69%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +1.60%E +0.573%K +0.892%G +0.014%	6.1%	2026-08-30 03:50
PMU (FR)🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -9.53%E -6.71%K -22.69%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +1.60%E +0.573%K +0.892%G +0.014%	6.1%	2026-08-30 03:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -9.53%E -6.71%K -22.69%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +1.60%E +0.573%K +0.892%G +0.014%	6.1%	2026-08-30 03:50
Bally Bet🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -9.53%E -6.71%K -22.69%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +1.60%E +0.573%K +0.892%G +0.014%	6.1%	2026-08-30 03:50
FanDuel🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -6.34%E -4.31%K -13.49%G +0.000%	2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -1.30%E -0.477%K -0.755%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-30 03:40
Coolbet🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.34%E -4.31%K -13.49%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.02%E -0.750%K -1.19%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-30 03:45
Fanatics🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -10.80%E -7.72%K -27.01%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -2.02%E -0.750%K -1.19%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-08-30 03:50
1xBet🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.96%EV -3.79%E -2.51%K -7.44%G +0.000%	2.68I 37.31%NM 36.04%EV -2.75%E -1.03%K -1.64%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-08-30 03:55
Pinnacle🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 63.72%EV -3.16%E -2.08%K -6.07%G +0.000%	2.67I 37.45%NM 36.28%EV -3.11%E -1.17%K -1.86%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-08-30 03:45
Caesars🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.62%E -5.25%K -16.93%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -3.84%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-29 15:18
888sport🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.25%E -5.73%K -18.76%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.93%E -1.88%K -3.04%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-30 01:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.25%E -5.73%K -18.76%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.93%E -1.88%K -3.04%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-30 01:35
888sport (SE)🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.25%E -5.73%K -18.76%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.93%E -1.88%K -3.04%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-30 01:35
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.81%EV -5.71%E -3.86%K -11.89%G +0.000%	2.61I 38.31%NM 36.19%EV -5.29%E -2.03%K -3.29%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-30 03:50
NordicBet🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.16%E -2.08%K -6.07%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-30 03:55
Betsson🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.16%E -2.08%K -6.07%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-30 03:55
BoyleSports🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.43%E -2.95%K -8.86%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-30 03:54
BetMGM🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.71%E -3.86%K -11.89%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-30 03:55
Fliff🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.62%E -5.25%K -16.93%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-08-30 03:55
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -0.608%E -0.390%K -1.09%G +0.000%	2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -6.74%E -2.62%K -4.29%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-08-30 03:55
LowVig.ag🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -0.608%E -0.390%K -1.09%G +0.000%	2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -6.74%E -2.62%K -4.29%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-08-30 03:55
DraftKings🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.79%E -2.51%K -7.44%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-30 03:55
ReBet🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.07%E -3.40%K -10.34%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-30 03:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.71%E -3.86%K -11.89%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-30 03:54
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.62%E -5.25%K -16.93%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-08-30 03:50
BetUS🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -0.608%E -0.390%K -1.09%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -9.28%E -3.71%K -6.19%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-30 03:55
Betway🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.71%E -3.86%K -11.89%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.28%E -3.71%K -6.19%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-30 03:55
theScore Bet🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.71%E -3.86%K -11.89%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.28%E -3.71%K -6.19%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-30 03:55
Coral🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.25%E -5.73%K -18.76%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.28%E -3.71%K -6.19%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-08-30 03:55
Bovada🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -1.88%E -1.22%K -3.49%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -12.91%E -5.38%K -9.22%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-08-30 03:54
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.25%E -5.73%K -18.76%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -12.91%E -5.38%K -9.22%G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-08-30 03:54
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 62.23%EV -9.53%E -6.71%K -22.69%G +0.000%	2.34I 42.74%NM 37.77%EV -15.09%E -6.45%K -11.26%G +0.000%	13.2%	2026-08-30 03:55

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。