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Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Chiba Lotte Marines
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local)
Prediction 67.95%1.47fair odd
EV -2.83%
Edge -1.98%
Kelly -6.58%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.99%67.96%67.98%69.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.381.381.4374.63%72.32%72.46%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit)
Prediction 32.05%3.12fair odd
EV +0.955%
Edge +0.303%
Kelly +0.444%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.46%32.04%32.02%34.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.932.953.1538.46%34.17%33.90%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local): 67.95%; Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit): 32.05%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.12. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.955%.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -6.23%E -4.51%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +0.955%E +0.303%K +0.444%G +0.004% | 4.2% | 2026-08-28 07:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -6.23%E -4.51%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +0.955%E +0.303%K +0.444%G +0.004% | 4.2% | 2026-08-28 07:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.85%E -1.28%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-28 07:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.85%E -1.28%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 13:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.85%E -1.28%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 13:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.85%E -1.28%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 13:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.85%E -1.28%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-28 01:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.65%EV -2.83%E -1.98%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.35%EV -4.17%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-28 08:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -4.49%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 08:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.83%E -1.98%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-28 07:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.51%E -2.47%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-28 08:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.23%E -4.51%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-28 08:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.23%E -4.51%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-28 08:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.23%E -4.51%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-28 08:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.23%E -4.51%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-28 08:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.23%E -4.51%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-28 08:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.23%E -4.51%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-28 08:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.27%E -6.12%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-28 07:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -2.83%E -1.98%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -6.10%E -2.08%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-28 08:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.51%E -2.47%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-28 06:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.51%E -2.47%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-28 06:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 08:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.23%E -4.51%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 13:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.23%E -4.51%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-28 08:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-28 01:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -8.27%E -6.12%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-28 08:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-28 07:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -5.55%E -3.99%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -8.66%E -3.04%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-28 08:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.23%E -4.51%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.66%E -3.04%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-28 07:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -8.66%E -3.04%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-27 18:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.26%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-28 07:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.67%EV -8.27%E -6.12%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.33%EV -13.47%E -4.99%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-28 08:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 65.99%EV -8.95%E -6.68%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.01%EV -16.67%E -6.41%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-28 08:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.