默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Chiba Lotte Marines

开赛时间： 2026-08-28 09:02 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

68%

32%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (主队)

预测 67.95%1.47公平赔率

EV -2.83%

优势 -1.98%

Kelly -6.58%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.43

博彩公司预测分布

65.99%67.96%67.98%69.54%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.341.381.381.4374.63%72.32%72.46%69.93%最小值均值中位数最大值

Chiba Lotte Marines (客队)

预测 32.05%3.12公平赔率

EV +0.955%

优势 +0.303%

Kelly +0.444%

增长率 +0.004%

假设最高赔率为 3.15

博彩公司预测分布

30.46%32.04%32.02%34.01%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.602.932.953.1538.46%34.17%33.90%31.75%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (主队)：67.95%；Chiba Lotte Marines (客队)：32.05%。对于“Chiba Lotte Marines (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.12。当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.15，对应+0.955%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -6.23%E -4.51%K -16.39%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +0.955%E +0.303%K +0.444%G +0.004%	4.2%	2026-08-28 07:35
LowVig.ag🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -6.23%E -4.51%K -16.39%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +0.955%E +0.303%K +0.444%G +0.004%	4.2%	2026-08-28 07:35
Coolbet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.85%E -1.28%K -1.93%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-28 07:50
888sport🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.07%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.85%E -1.28%K -1.93%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-08-27 13:10
888sport (SE)🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.07%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.85%E -1.28%K -1.93%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-08-27 13:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.07%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.85%E -1.28%K -1.93%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-08-27 13:10
BetMGM🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.07%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.85%E -1.28%K -1.93%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-08-28 01:15
Pinnacle🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 67.65%EV -2.83%E -1.98%K -6.58%G +0.000%	2.99I 33.44%NM 32.35%EV -4.17%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-08-28 08:45
FanDuel🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000%	2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -4.49%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-28 08:20
1xBet🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.83%E -1.98%K -6.58%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-08-28 07:30
DraftKings🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.51%E -2.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-28 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.23%E -4.51%K -16.39%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-28 08:05
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.23%E -4.51%K -16.39%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-28 08:05
BetRivers🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.23%E -4.51%K -16.39%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-28 08:05
PMU (FR)🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.23%E -4.51%K -16.39%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-28 08:05
Unibet🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.23%E -4.51%K -16.39%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-28 08:05
Bally Bet🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.23%E -4.51%K -16.39%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-28 08:05
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.27%E -6.12%K -23.62%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-08-28 07:30
BetUS🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -2.83%E -1.98%K -6.58%G +0.000%	2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -6.10%E -2.08%K -3.16%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-28 08:54
Betsson🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.51%E -2.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-28 06:40
NordicBet🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.51%E -2.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-28 06:40
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-28 08:25
Caesars🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.23%E -4.51%K -16.39%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-08-27 13:10
Bovada🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.23%E -4.51%K -16.39%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-08-28 08:55
Coral🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.07%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-08-28 01:14
Fanatics🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -8.27%E -6.12%K -23.62%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-08-28 08:50
BoyleSports🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.07%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-08-28 07:25
ReBet🎯	1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -5.55%E -3.99%K -14.23%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -8.66%E -3.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-28 08:20
theScore Bet🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.23%E -4.51%K -16.39%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.66%E -3.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-28 07:25
Betway🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.07%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -8.66%E -3.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-08-27 18:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.26%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-08-28 07:25
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 66.67%EV -8.27%E -6.12%K -23.62%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 33.33%EV -13.47%E -4.99%K -7.92%G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-08-28 08:45
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 65.99%EV -8.95%E -6.68%K -26.31%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 34.01%EV -16.67%E -6.41%K -10.42%G +0.000%	13.1%	2026-08-28 08:34

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。