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Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Chiba Lotte Marines
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local)
Prediction 63.22%1.58fair odd
EV -1.38%
Edge -0.886%
Kelly -2.47%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.92%63.15%63.57%65.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.491.481.5669.44%67.14%67.57%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit)
Prediction 36.78%2.72fair odd
EV +1.89%
Edge +0.683%
Kelly +1.07%
Growth +0.020%
assuming max odds 2.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.98%36.85%36.43%39.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.262.572.602.7744.25%38.91%38.46%36.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local): 63.22%; Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit): 36.78%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.72. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.77, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.89%.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -5.81%E -3.90%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV +1.89%E +0.683%K +1.07%G +0.020% | 3.2% | 2026-06-24 03:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -5.81%E -3.90%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV +1.89%E +0.683%K +1.07%G +0.020% | 3.2% | 2026-06-24 03:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -4.54%E -3.01%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.78%EV -0.316%E -0.117%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-24 03:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.44%E -4.35%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.684%E -0.253%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-24 02:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -6.44%E -4.35%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -1.79%E -0.669%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 03:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -4.54%E -3.01%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -2.15%E -0.810%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-24 03:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.07%E -4.81%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -2.52%E -0.952%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-24 03:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.07%E -4.81%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -2.52%E -0.952%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-24 03:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.07%E -4.81%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -2.52%E -0.952%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-24 03:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.07%E -4.81%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -2.52%E -0.952%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-24 03:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.07%E -4.81%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -2.52%E -0.952%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-24 03:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.07%E -4.81%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -2.52%E -0.952%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-24 03:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.34%E -5.75%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -2.52%E -0.952%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-23 14:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%EV -3.91%E -2.57%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%EV -3.26%E -1.24%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-24 03:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.97%E -6.23%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.63%E -1.38%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-24 02:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.97%E -6.23%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.63%E -1.38%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-24 02:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.97%E -6.23%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.63%E -1.38%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-24 02:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.18%E -3.45%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.36%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-24 03:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.44%E -4.35%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.36%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-24 03:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.44%E -4.35%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.36%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-24 03:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -1.38%E -0.886%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -6.20%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-24 03:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.44%E -4.35%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.20%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-24 03:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.34%E -5.75%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.20%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-24 03:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -3.28%E -2.14%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -7.30%E -2.90%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 03:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.01%E -1.30%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -8.04%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-24 03:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.01%E -1.30%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -8.04%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-24 03:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.28%E -2.14%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.04%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-24 03:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.97%E -6.23%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.04%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-24 03:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -3.28%E -2.14%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -9.14%E -3.70%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-24 03:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.28%E -2.14%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.88%E -4.03%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-24 03:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -4.54%E -3.01%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -9.88%E -4.03%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-24 03:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.18%E -3.45%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.88%E -4.03%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-24 03:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.18%E -3.45%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.72%E -4.88%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-24 03:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.18%E -3.45%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.72%E -4.88%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-24 03:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -6.44%E -4.35%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -13.56%E -5.77%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-24 03:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.92%EV -8.34%E -5.75%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 39.08%EV -16.87%E -7.46%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-06-24 03:36 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.