L’École des cotes

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Chiba Lotte Marines

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-24 04:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local)

Prévision 63.22%1.58cote équitable
EV -1.38%
Avantage -0.886%
Kelly -2.47%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.92%63.15%63.57%65.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.491.481.5669.44%67.14%67.57%64.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chiba Lotte Marines (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.78%2.72cote équitable
EV +1.89%
Avantage +0.683%
Kelly +1.07%
Croissance +0.020%

avec la cote maximale 2.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.98%36.85%36.43%39.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.262.572.602.7744.25%38.91%38.46%36.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -5.81%E -3.90%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV +1.89%E +0.683%K +1.07%G +0.020%3.2%2026-06-24 03:50
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -5.81%E -3.90%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV +1.89%E +0.683%K +1.07%G +0.020%3.2%2026-06-24 03:50
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -4.54%E -3.01%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.78%EV -0.316%E -0.117%K -0.185%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-24 03:50
William Hill1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.44%E -4.35%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.684%E -0.253%K -0.402%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 02:59
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -6.44%E -4.35%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -1.79%E -0.669%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 03:19
BetUS1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -4.54%E -3.01%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -2.15%E -0.810%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-24 03:39
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.07%E -4.81%K -15.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -2.52%E -0.952%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-24 03:40
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.07%E -4.81%K -15.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -2.52%E -0.952%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-24 03:40
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.07%E -4.81%K -15.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -2.52%E -0.952%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-24 03:40
PMU (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.07%E -4.81%K -15.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -2.52%E -0.952%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-24 03:40
Bally Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.07%E -4.81%K -15.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -2.52%E -0.952%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-24 03:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.07%E -4.81%K -15.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -2.52%E -0.952%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-24 03:40
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.34%E -5.75%K -18.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -2.52%E -0.952%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-23 14:00
1xBet1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%EV -3.91%E -2.57%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%EV -3.26%E -1.24%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-24 03:40
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.97%E -6.23%K -20.38%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.63%E -1.38%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-24 02:40
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.97%E -6.23%K -20.38%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.63%E -1.38%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-24 02:40
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.97%E -6.23%K -20.38%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.63%E -1.38%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-24 02:40
DraftKings1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.18%E -3.45%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.36%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 03:50
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.44%E -4.35%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.36%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 03:40
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.44%E -4.35%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.36%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 03:09
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -1.38%E -0.886%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -6.20%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-24 03:20
Fliff1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.44%E -4.35%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.20%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-24 03:19
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.34%E -5.75%K -18.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.20%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-24 03:20
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -3.28%E -2.14%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -7.30%E -2.90%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 03:20
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.01%E -1.30%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -8.04%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-24 03:50
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.01%E -1.30%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -8.04%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-24 03:50
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.28%E -2.14%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.04%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-24 03:19
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.97%E -6.23%K -20.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.04%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-24 03:10
MyBookie.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -3.28%E -2.14%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -9.14%E -3.70%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-24 03:20
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.28%E -2.14%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.88%E -4.03%K -6.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-24 03:20
ReBet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -4.54%E -3.01%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -9.88%E -4.03%K -6.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-24 03:20
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.18%E -3.45%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.88%E -4.03%K -6.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-24 03:20
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.18%E -3.45%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.72%E -4.88%K -8.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-24 03:20
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.18%E -3.45%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.72%E -4.88%K -8.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-24 03:20
Unibet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -6.44%E -4.35%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -13.56%E -5.77%K -10.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-24 03:49
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 60.92%EV -8.34%E -5.75%K -18.53%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 39.08%EV -16.87%E -7.46%K -13.39%G +0.000%13.2%2026-06-24 03:36
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.