The School of Odds
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Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Chiba Lotte Marines

Kickoff: 2026-08-29 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local)

Prediction 54.45%1.84fair odd
EV -0.362%
Edge -0.198%
Kelly -0.436%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.22%54.39%54.50%57.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.731.741.8362.50%57.71%57.47%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit)

Prediction 45.55%2.20fair odd
EV +0.216%
Edge +0.098%
Kelly +0.180%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.11%45.61%45.50%47.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.052.052.2051.81%48.70%48.78%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local): 54.45%; Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit): 45.55%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.195. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.200, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.216%.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -12.88%E -8.05%K -21.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV +0.216%E +0.098%K +0.180%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 04:55
Pinnacle🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.63%E -2.05%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.06%E -0.959%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-29 04:50
FanDuel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.35%E -3.69%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.43%E -1.62%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 04:25
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 04:55
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 04:55
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 04:55
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.26%E -3.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 04:54
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.98%E -4.72%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 04:55
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.87%EV -2.54%E -1.42%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.13%EV -4.79%E -2.29%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-29 04:47
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.26%E -3.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.25%E -2.52%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 16:35
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.26%E -3.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.25%E -2.52%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 16:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.26%E -3.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.25%E -2.52%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 16:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.26%E -3.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.25%E -2.52%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 16:35
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.26%E -3.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.25%E -2.52%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 16:35
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.26%E -3.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.25%E -2.52%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 16:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.25%E -2.52%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 04:34
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.26%E -3.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 04:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.26%E -3.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 04:25
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 04:25
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.90%E -4.03%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 04:25
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.90%E -4.03%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 04:50
Betway🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.98%E -4.72%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 04:25
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -10.16%E -6.16%K -15.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 04:53
BetUS🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -4.17%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -7.98%E -3.95%K -7.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 04:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -0.362%E -0.198%K -0.436%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.89%E -4.45%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 04:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -0.362%E -0.198%K -0.436%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.89%E -4.45%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 04:25
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.63%E -2.05%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.89%E -4.45%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-28 14:35
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.89%E -4.45%K -8.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-28 14:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.89%E -4.45%K -8.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-28 14:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.89%E -4.45%K -8.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-28 14:36
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -2.00%E -1.11%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -9.81%E -4.95%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 01:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.27%EV -9.62%E -5.79%K -14.57%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.73%EV -10.26%E -5.21%K -10.58%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-29 04:45
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -11.17%E -5.73%K -11.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 01:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.21%EV -11.25%E -6.90%K -17.86%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.79%EV -12.08%E -6.26%K -12.99%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-29 04:33
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.