默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Chiba Lotte Marines

开赛时间： 2026-08-29 05:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

54%

46%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (主队)

预测 54.45%1.84公平赔率

EV -0.362%

优势 -0.198%

Kelly -0.436%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.83

博彩公司预测分布

52.22%54.39%54.50%57.89%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.601.731.741.8362.50%57.71%57.47%54.64%最小值均值中位数最大值

Chiba Lotte Marines (客队)

预测 45.55%2.20公平赔率

EV +0.216%

优势 +0.098%

Kelly +0.180%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.20

博彩公司预测分布

42.11%45.61%45.50%47.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.932.052.052.2051.81%48.70%48.78%45.45%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (主队)：54.45%；Chiba Lotte Marines (客队)：45.55%。对于“Chiba Lotte Marines (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.195。当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.200，对应+0.216%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -12.88%E -8.05%K -21.47%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV +0.216%E +0.098%K +0.180%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-08-29 04:55
Pinnacle🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.63%E -2.05%K -4.71%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.06%E -0.959%K -1.79%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-08-29 04:50
FanDuel🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.35%E -3.69%K -8.82%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.43%E -1.62%K -3.06%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-29 04:25
Coolbet🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.94%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-29 04:55
NordicBet🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.94%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-29 04:55
Betsson🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.94%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-29 04:55
DraftKings🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.26%E -3.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.94%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-29 04:54
Bovada🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.98%E -4.72%K -11.57%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.94%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-29 04:55
1xBet🎯	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.87%EV -2.54%E -1.42%K -3.21%G +0.000%	2.09I 47.85%NM 46.13%EV -4.79%E -2.29%K -4.40%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-08-29 04:47
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.26%E -3.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.25%E -2.52%K -4.86%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-08-28 16:35
BetRivers🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.26%E -3.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.25%E -2.52%K -4.86%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-08-28 16:35
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.26%E -3.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.25%E -2.52%K -4.86%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-08-28 16:35
PMU (FR)🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.26%E -3.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.25%E -2.52%K -4.86%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-08-28 16:35
Unibet🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.26%E -3.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.25%E -2.52%K -4.86%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-08-28 16:35
Bally Bet🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.26%E -3.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.25%E -2.52%K -4.86%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-08-28 16:35
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.95%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.25%E -2.52%K -4.86%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-29 04:34
theScore Bet🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.26%E -3.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-29 04:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.26%E -3.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-29 04:25
BoyleSports🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.95%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-08-29 04:25
ReBet🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.90%E -4.03%K -9.71%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-08-29 04:25
Fliff🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.90%E -4.03%K -9.71%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-08-29 04:50
Betway🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.98%E -4.72%K -11.57%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-08-29 04:25
Fanatics🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -10.16%E -6.16%K -15.63%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-08-29 04:53
BetUS🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -4.17%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -7.98%E -3.95%K -7.83%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-29 04:55
LowVig.ag🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -0.362%E -0.198%K -0.436%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.89%E -4.45%K -8.89%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-29 04:25
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -0.362%E -0.198%K -0.436%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.89%E -4.45%K -8.89%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-29 04:25
Caesars🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.63%E -2.05%K -4.71%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.89%E -4.45%K -8.89%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-08-28 14:35
888sport🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.95%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.89%E -4.45%K -8.89%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-28 14:35
888sport (SE)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.95%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.89%E -4.45%K -8.89%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-28 14:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.95%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.89%E -4.45%K -8.89%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-28 14:36
BetMGM🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -2.00%E -1.11%K -2.49%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -9.81%E -4.95%K -10.01%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-29 01:20
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 54.27%EV -9.62%E -5.79%K -14.57%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 45.73%EV -10.26%E -5.21%K -10.58%G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-08-29 04:45
Coral🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -11.17%E -5.73%K -11.76%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-08-29 01:15
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 54.21%EV -11.25%E -6.90%K -17.86%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 45.79%EV -12.08%E -6.26%K -12.99%G +0.000%	13.2%	2026-08-29 04:33

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。