The School of Odds

Hiroshima Toyo Carp v Tokyo Yakult Swallows

2026-07-09 09:00 — NPB

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Option 1: Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local)

Odds
1.5265.79%Min
1.6062.57%Mean
1.6261.92%Median
1.6560.61%Max
Consensus probabilities
57.99%1.724Min
60.72%1.647Max
59.12%1.691Mean
58.90%1.698Median
59.08%1.693IQM
59.15%1.691Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.65 under the IQM model: 59.08%

EV -2.52%Edge -1.53%Kelly -3.88%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit)

Odds
2.1546.51%Min
2.2943.67%Mean
2.3043.48%Median
2.4241.32%Max
Consensus probabilities
39.28%2.546Min
42.01%2.380Max
40.88%2.446Mean
41.10%2.433Median
40.92%2.444IQM
40.85%2.448Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.42 under the IQM model: 40.92%

EV -0.968%Edge -0.400%Kelly -0.682%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

BookmakerHiroshima Toyo Carp (Local) ▼Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit)MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61% NM 58.75%EV -2.52% E -1.53% K -3.88% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 41.25%EV -3.83% E -1.63% K -2.84% G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-08 15:10
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61% NM 58.75%EV -2.52% E -1.53% K -3.88% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 41.25%EV -3.83% E -1.63% K -2.84% G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-08 15:15
1xBet1.63I 61.35% NM 59.25%EV -3.70% E -2.27% K -5.88% G +0.000%2.37I 42.19% NM 40.75%EV -3.01% E -1.27% K -2.20% G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-08 18:54
William Hill1.63I 61.35% NM 58.94%EV -3.70% E -2.27% K -5.88% G +0.000%2.34I 42.74% NM 41.06%EV -4.24% E -1.81% K -3.17% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 15:45
BetRivers1.63I 61.35% NM 57.99%EV -3.70% E -2.27% K -5.88% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.01%EV -7.93% E -3.52% K -6.34% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 15:44
Unibet1.63I 61.35% NM 57.99%EV -3.70% E -2.27% K -5.88% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.01%EV -7.93% E -3.52% K -6.34% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 15:44
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35% NM 57.99%EV -3.70% E -2.27% K -5.88% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.01%EV -7.93% E -3.52% K -6.34% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 15:45
PMU (FR)1.63I 61.35% NM 57.99%EV -3.70% E -2.27% K -5.88% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.01%EV -7.93% E -3.52% K -6.34% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 15:45
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35% NM 57.99%EV -3.70% E -2.27% K -5.88% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.01%EV -7.93% E -3.52% K -6.34% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 15:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35% NM 57.99%EV -3.70% E -2.27% K -5.88% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.01%EV -7.93% E -3.52% K -6.34% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 15:55
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73% NM 59.90%EV -4.29% E -2.65% K -6.93% G +0.000%2.42I 41.32% NM 40.10%EV -0.968% E -0.400% K -0.682% G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-08 16:30
Fanatics1.62I 61.73% NM 59.70%EV -4.29% E -2.65% K -6.93% G +0.000%2.40I 41.67% NM 40.30%EV -1.79% E -0.744% K -1.28% G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-08 16:42
BetUS1.62I 61.73% NM 58.78%EV -4.29% E -2.65% K -6.93% G +0.000%2.31I 43.29% NM 41.22%EV -5.47% E -2.37% K -4.18% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 17:39
NordicBet1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -4.29% E -2.65% K -6.93% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -5.88% E -2.56% K -4.52% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-08 15:14
Betsson1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -4.29% E -2.65% K -6.93% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -5.88% E -2.56% K -4.52% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-08 15:14
Coolbet1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -4.29% E -2.65% K -6.93% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -5.88% E -2.56% K -4.52% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-08 15:34
Caesars1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -4.29% E -2.65% K -6.93% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -7.93% E -3.52% K -6.34% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-08 15:14
DraftKings1.61I 62.11% NM 59.34%EV -4.88% E -3.03% K -8.01% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 40.66%EV -3.83% E -1.63% K -2.84% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 16:24
FanDuel1.60I 62.50% NM 59.60%EV -5.48% E -3.42% K -9.13% G +0.000%2.36I 42.37% NM 40.40%EV -3.42% E -1.45% K -2.52% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 16:35
MyBookie.ag1.60I 62.50% NM 58.97%EV -5.48% E -3.42% K -9.13% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.03%EV -5.88% E -2.56% K -4.52% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-08 16:38
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89% NM 59.13%EV -6.07% E -3.82% K -10.28% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 40.87%EV -5.88% E -2.56% K -4.52% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 16:34
Fliff1.59I 62.89% NM 58.59%EV -6.07% E -3.82% K -10.28% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 41.41%EV -7.93% E -3.52% K -6.34% G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-08 16:30
Bovada1.57I 63.69% NM 59.95%EV -7.25% E -4.62% K -12.72% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 40.05%EV -3.83% E -1.63% K -2.84% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-08 16:30
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69% NM 59.43%EV -7.25% E -4.62% K -12.72% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 40.57%EV -5.88% E -2.56% K -4.52% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-08 16:34
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69% NM 59.43%EV -7.25% E -4.62% K -12.72% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 40.57%EV -5.88% E -2.56% K -4.52% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-08 16:34
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69% NM 58.90%EV -7.25% E -4.62% K -12.72% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 41.10%EV -7.93% E -3.52% K -6.34% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-08 15:10
888sport1.57I 63.69% NM 58.90%EV -7.25% E -4.62% K -12.72% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 41.10%EV -7.93% E -3.52% K -6.34% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-08 15:14
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69% NM 58.90%EV -7.25% E -4.62% K -12.72% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 41.10%EV -7.93% E -3.52% K -6.34% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-08 15:14
Betway1.57I 63.69% NM 58.90%EV -7.25% E -4.62% K -12.72% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 41.10%EV -7.93% E -3.52% K -6.34% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-08 18:09
Everygame1.55I 64.52% NM 59.74%EV -8.43% E -5.44% K -15.33% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 40.26%EV -5.88% E -2.56% K -4.52% G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-08 17:50
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52% NM 58.67%EV -8.43% E -5.44% K -15.33% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 41.33%EV -9.97% E -4.53% K -8.31% G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-08 16:33
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36% NM 58.42%EV -9.61% E -6.28% K -18.13% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 41.58%EV -12.02% E -5.59% K -10.45% G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-08 16:34
ReBet1.53I 65.36% NM 58.42%EV -9.61% E -6.28% K -18.13% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 41.58%EV -12.02% E -5.59% K -10.45% G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-08 16:35
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79% NM 60.72%EV -10.20% E -6.71% K -19.62% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 39.28%EV -3.83% E -1.63% K -2.84% G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-08 16:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth