La scuola delle quote

Hiroshima Toyo Carp v Tokyo Yakult Swallows

Inizio: 2026-07-09 09:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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36 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Casa)

Previsione 63.67%1.57quota equa
EV +3.14%
Vantaggio +1.94%
Kelly +5.06%
Crescita +0.159%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.62

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.14%63.05%63.76%65.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.421.491.491.6270.42%67.28%67.11%61.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Trasferta)

Previsione 36.33%2.75quota equa
EV +0.281%
Vantaggio +0.102%
Kelly +0.159%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.76

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.89%36.95%36.24%41.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.222.562.602.7645.05%39.08%38.46%36.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV +3.14%E +1.94%K +5.06%G +0.159%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -18.25%E -8.11%K -14.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-08 15:14
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -0.044%E -0.028%K -0.077%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -9.89%E -3.99%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-09 04:49
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.59%E -1.69%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.98%E -4.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 00:35
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -2.59%E -1.69%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -16.43%E -7.14%K -12.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-09 08:54
BetOnline.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64%EV -3.23%E -2.12%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%EV -3.35%E -1.26%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-09 08:39
LowVig.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64%EV -3.23%E -2.12%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%EV -3.35%E -1.26%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-09 08:35
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.23%E -2.12%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 08:45
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -3.86%E -2.56%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -3.35%E -1.26%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-09 08:44
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.50%E -3.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 08:38
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.50%E -3.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 08:41
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.50%E -3.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.17%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-09 08:54
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.50%E -3.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.17%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-09 08:54
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.50%E -3.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.17%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-09 08:54
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.50%E -3.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.17%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-09 08:54
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.50%E -3.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.17%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-09 08:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.50%E -3.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.17%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-09 08:54
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.50%E -3.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.80%E -5.33%K -9.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-09 00:40
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 64.94%EV -5.14%E -3.45%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.06%EV +0.281%E +0.102%K +0.159%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-09 08:55
BetUS1.49I 67.11%NM 64.52%EV -5.14%E -3.45%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.48%EV -1.54%E -0.567%K -0.898%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-09 08:55
DraftKings1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.77%E -3.90%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.90%E -0.703%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 08:54
Fliff1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.77%E -3.90%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-09 08:35
FanDuel1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -6.41%E -4.36%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -1.17%E -0.431%K -0.682%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 08:40
MyBookie.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -6.41%E -4.36%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -4.44%E -1.69%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-09 08:44
ReBet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.41%E -4.36%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-09 08:39
theScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.41%E -4.36%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-09 08:35
Betclic (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 60.16%EV -6.41%E -4.36%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 39.84%EV -19.34%E -8.71%K -15.85%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-09 08:30
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.68%E -5.30%K -17.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -3.72%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-09 08:34
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.68%E -5.30%K -17.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 08:35
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.68%E -5.30%K -17.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-09 08:39
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.32%E -5.78%K -18.91%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.81%E -1.83%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 08:54
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.32%E -5.78%K -18.91%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.81%E -1.83%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 08:54
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.32%E -5.78%K -18.91%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.81%E -1.83%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 08:54
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.32%E -5.78%K -18.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-09 08:33
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.32%E -5.78%K -18.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-09 08:34
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -8.96%E -6.26%K -20.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -9.17%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-09 08:45
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.59%E -6.76%K -22.84%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -3.72%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-09 08:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.