Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hiroshima Toyo Carp v Hanshin Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-08-14 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local)

Prediction 37.10%2.70fair odd
EV +5.73%
Edge +2.01%
Kelly +3.10%
Growth +0.177%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.94%36.83%37.23%38.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.572.592.8543.86%38.91%38.61%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hanshin Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 62.90%1.59fair odd
EV -1.87%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -3.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.13%63.17%62.77%67.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.491.491.5671.43%67.09%67.11%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local): 37.10%; Hanshin Tigers (Visit): 62.90%. For Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.70. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.73%.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV +5.73%E +2.01%K +3.10%G +0.177%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -11.94%E -8.53%K -29.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-13 23:59
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +3.87%E +1.38%K +2.15%G +0.083%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -11.94%E -8.53%K -29.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-13 23:38
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +0.163%E +0.060%K +0.096%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.53%E -5.12%K -16.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 08:34
LowVig.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.69%E -0.638%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.76%E -2.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-14 08:34
BetOnline.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.69%E -0.638%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.76%E -2.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-14 08:34
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -1.69%E -0.638%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.53%E -5.12%K -16.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 08:49
PMU (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -1.69%E -0.638%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.53%E -5.12%K -16.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 08:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -1.69%E -0.638%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.53%E -5.12%K -16.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 08:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -1.69%E -0.638%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.53%E -5.12%K -16.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 08:49
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -1.69%E -0.638%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.53%E -5.12%K -16.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 08:49
Bally Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -1.69%E -0.638%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.53%E -5.12%K -16.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 08:49
Caesars🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -1.69%E -0.638%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.79%E -6.06%K -19.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 08:35
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.80%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.42%E -6.54%K -21.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 08:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.80%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.42%E -6.54%K -21.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 07:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.80%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.42%E -6.54%K -21.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 07:59
Betsson🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.55%E -1.36%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.39%E -2.89%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 08:39
NordicBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.55%E -1.36%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.39%E -2.89%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 08:39
Pinnacle🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -4.29%E -1.66%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -1.87%E -1.20%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-14 08:44
Fanatics🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -1.87%E -1.20%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-14 08:34
Fliff🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.90%E -4.66%K -14.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 08:54
1xBet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -5.77%E -2.27%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -2.50%E -1.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-14 08:39
FanDuel🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -5.77%E -2.27%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -4.39%E -2.89%K -8.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 08:34
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -1.87%E -1.20%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 08:34
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.13%E -2.03%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 08:49
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.65%E -3.76%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 08:33
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.65%E -3.76%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 08:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.53%E -5.12%K -16.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 08:34
MyBookie.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -8.00%E -3.23%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -4.39%E -2.89%K -8.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 08:38
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.76%E -2.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 08:33
ReBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -5.02%E -3.32%K -9.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 08:34
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.76%K -11.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-14 08:34
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.97%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.65%E -3.76%K -11.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-14 08:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -12.82%E -5.46%K -9.50%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.52%EV -7.53%E -5.12%K -16.03%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-14 08:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.87%EV -15.42%E -6.76%K -12.05%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.13%EV -8.79%E -6.06%K -19.54%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-14 08:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.