默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hiroshima Toyo Carp v Hanshin Tigers

开赛时间： 2026-08-14 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

37%

63%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (主队)

预测 37.10%2.70公平赔率

EV +5.73%

优势 +2.01%

Kelly +3.10%

增长率 +0.177%

假设最高赔率为 2.85

博彩公司预测分布

32.94%36.83%37.23%38.87%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.282.572.592.8543.86%38.91%38.61%35.09%最小值均值中位数最大值

Hanshin Tigers (客队)

预测 62.90%1.59公平赔率

EV -1.87%

优势 -1.20%

Kelly -3.34%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.56

博彩公司预测分布

61.13%63.17%62.77%67.06%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.401.491.491.5671.43%67.09%67.11%64.10%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Hiroshima Toyo Carp (主队)：37.10%；Hanshin Tigers (客队)：62.90%。对于“Hiroshima Toyo Carp (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.70。当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.85，对应+5.73%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
BetMGM🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV +5.73%E +2.01%K +3.10%G +0.177%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -11.94%E -8.53%K -29.84%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-08-13 23:59
Coral🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +3.87%E +1.38%K +2.15%G +0.083%	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -11.94%E -8.53%K -29.84%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-08-13 23:38
Coolbet🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +0.163%E +0.060%K +0.096%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.53%E -5.12%K -16.03%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-14 08:34
LowVig.ag🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.69%E -0.638%K -1.03%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.76%E -2.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-08-14 08:34
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.69%E -0.638%K -1.03%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.76%E -2.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-08-14 08:34
BetRivers🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -1.69%E -0.638%K -1.03%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.53%E -5.12%K -16.03%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-14 08:49
PMU (FR)🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -1.69%E -0.638%K -1.03%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.53%E -5.12%K -16.03%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-14 08:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -1.69%E -0.638%K -1.03%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.53%E -5.12%K -16.03%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-14 08:49
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -1.69%E -0.638%K -1.03%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.53%E -5.12%K -16.03%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-14 08:49
Unibet🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -1.69%E -0.638%K -1.03%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.53%E -5.12%K -16.03%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-14 08:49
Bally Bet🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -1.69%E -0.638%K -1.03%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.53%E -5.12%K -16.03%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-14 08:49
Caesars🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -1.69%E -0.638%K -1.03%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.79%E -6.06%K -19.54%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-14 08:35
888sport🎯	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.80%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.42%E -6.54%K -21.41%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-14 08:00
888sport (SE)🎯	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.80%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.42%E -6.54%K -21.41%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-14 07:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.80%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.42%E -6.54%K -21.41%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-14 07:59
Betsson🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.55%E -1.36%K -2.22%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.39%E -2.89%K -8.44%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-14 08:39
NordicBet🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.55%E -1.36%K -2.22%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.39%E -2.89%K -8.44%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-14 08:39
Pinnacle🎯	2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -4.29%E -1.66%K -2.71%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -1.87%E -1.20%K -3.34%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-08-14 08:44
Fanatics🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -1.87%E -1.20%K -3.34%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-08-14 08:34
Fliff🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.90%E -4.66%K -14.38%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-14 08:54
1xBet🎯	2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -5.77%E -2.27%K -3.75%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -2.50%E -1.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-08-14 08:39
FanDuel🎯	2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -5.77%E -2.27%K -3.75%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -4.39%E -2.89%K -8.44%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-14 08:34
BetUS🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -1.87%E -1.20%K -3.34%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-14 08:34
DraftKings🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.13%E -2.03%K -5.80%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-14 08:49
BoyleSports🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.65%E -3.76%K -11.29%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-14 08:33
Bovada🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.65%E -3.76%K -11.29%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-14 08:49
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.53%E -5.12%K -16.03%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-08-14 08:34
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -8.00%E -3.23%K -5.40%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -4.39%E -2.89%K -8.44%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-14 08:38
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.76%E -2.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-14 08:33
ReBet🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000%	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -5.02%E -3.32%K -9.84%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-14 08:34
theScore Bet🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.76%K -11.29%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-14 08:34
Betway🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.97%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.65%E -3.76%K -11.29%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-08-14 08:34
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -12.82%E -5.46%K -9.50%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 61.52%EV -7.53%E -5.12%K -16.03%G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-08-14 08:50
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 38.87%EV -15.42%E -6.76%K -12.05%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 61.13%EV -8.79%E -6.06%K -19.54%G +0.000%	12.8%	2026-08-14 08:34

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。