Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hiroshima Toyo Carp v Hanshin Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-07-17 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local)

Prediction 36.78%2.72fair odd
EV +0.046%
Edge +0.017%
Kelly +0.027%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.70%36.79%36.59%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.562.582.7242.55%39.05%38.76%36.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hanshin Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 63.22%1.58fair odd
EV -2.64%
Edge -1.72%
Kelly -4.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.54%63.21%63.41%64.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.491.501.5470.42%66.93%66.67%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local): 36.78%; Hanshin Tigers (Visit): 63.22%. For Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.719. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.720, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.046%.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV +0.046%E +0.017%K +0.027%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -4.54%E -3.01%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-17 08:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV +0.046%E +0.017%K +0.027%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -4.54%E -3.01%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-17 08:50
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.53%E -0.954%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.17%E -3.45%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-17 08:10
FanDuel🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -2.90%E -1.10%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -5.80%E -3.90%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 08:10
BetUS🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%EV -3.26%E -1.24%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%EV -3.91%E -2.57%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-17 08:35
Pinnacle🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -4.00%E -1.53%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.64%E -1.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-17 08:45
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.17%E -3.45%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 08:10
NordicBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.17%E -3.45%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 08:45
Betsson🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.17%E -3.45%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 08:45
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.17%E -3.45%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 08:20
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.17%E -3.45%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 08:25
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.80%E -3.90%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 08:55
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.80%E -3.90%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 08:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.80%E -3.90%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 08:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.80%E -3.90%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 08:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.80%E -3.90%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 08:55
Bally Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.80%E -3.90%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 08:55
William Hill🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -5.10%E -1.98%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.28%E -2.14%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-17 08:45
MyBookie.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.61%EV -5.10%E -1.98%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.39%EV -5.80%E -3.90%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 08:13
1xBet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.47%EV -5.47%E -2.13%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.53%EV -2.64%E -1.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-17 08:50
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.21%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.28%E -2.14%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 08:55
ReBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.21%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.44%E -4.35%K -13.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 08:10
Fliff🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.21%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.44%E -4.35%K -13.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 08:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.21%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.44%E -4.35%K -13.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 08:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.21%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.33%E -5.75%K -18.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-17 08:15
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.17%E -3.45%K -10.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 08:20
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.17%E -3.45%K -10.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-16 13:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.17%E -3.45%K -10.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 08:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.17%E -3.45%K -10.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 08:20
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.17%E -3.45%K -10.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 08:55
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.44%E -4.35%K -13.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 08:10
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.44%E -4.35%K -13.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 08:10
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.44%E -4.35%K -13.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 08:25
Everygame🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.72%E -4.89%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.17%E -3.45%K -10.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-17 08:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -11.72%E -4.89%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.97%E -6.23%K -20.38%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-17 08:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.67%EV -13.56%E -5.77%K -10.05%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.33%EV -10.23%E -7.20%K -24.36%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-17 08:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.