L’École des cotes

Hiroshima Toyo Carp v Hanshin Tigers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-17 09:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local)

Prévision 36.78%2.72cote équitable
EV +0.046%
Avantage +0.017%
Kelly +0.027%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.70%36.79%36.59%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.562.582.7242.55%39.05%38.76%36.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Hanshin Tigers (Visiteur)

Prévision 63.22%1.58cote équitable
EV -2.64%
Avantage -1.72%
Kelly -4.90%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.54%63.21%63.41%64.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.421.491.501.5470.42%66.93%66.67%64.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV +0.046%E +0.017%K +0.027%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -4.54%E -3.01%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-17 08:50
LowVig.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV +0.046%E +0.017%K +0.027%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -4.54%E -3.01%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-17 08:50
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.53%E -0.954%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.17%E -3.45%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-17 08:10
FanDuel2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -2.90%E -1.10%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -5.80%E -3.90%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 08:10
BetUS2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%EV -3.26%E -1.24%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%EV -3.91%E -2.57%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-17 08:35
Pinnacle2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -4.00%E -1.53%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.64%E -1.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-17 08:45
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.17%E -3.45%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 08:10
NordicBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.17%E -3.45%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 08:45
Betsson2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.17%E -3.45%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 08:45
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.17%E -3.45%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 08:20
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.17%E -3.45%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 08:25
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.80%E -3.90%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 08:55
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.80%E -3.90%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 08:55
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.80%E -3.90%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 08:55
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.80%E -3.90%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 08:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.80%E -3.90%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 08:55
Bally Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.80%E -3.90%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 08:55
William Hill2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -5.10%E -1.98%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.28%E -2.14%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-17 08:45
MyBookie.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 36.61%EV -5.10%E -1.98%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.39%EV -5.80%E -3.90%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 08:13
1xBet2.57I 38.91%NM 37.47%EV -5.47%E -2.13%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.53%EV -2.64%E -1.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-17 08:50
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.21%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.28%E -2.14%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 08:55
ReBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.21%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.44%E -4.35%K -13.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 08:10
Fliff2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.21%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.44%E -4.35%K -13.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 08:55
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.21%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.44%E -4.35%K -13.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 08:10
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.21%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.33%E -5.75%K -18.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-17 08:15
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.17%E -3.45%K -10.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 08:20
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.17%E -3.45%K -10.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-16 13:50
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.17%E -3.45%K -10.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 08:20
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.17%E -3.45%K -10.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 08:20
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.17%E -3.45%K -10.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 08:55
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.44%E -4.35%K -13.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 08:10
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.44%E -4.35%K -13.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 08:10
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.44%E -4.35%K -13.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 08:25
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.72%E -4.89%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.17%E -3.45%K -10.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-17 08:55
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -11.72%E -4.89%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.97%E -6.23%K -20.38%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-17 08:45
Betclic (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.67%EV -13.56%E -5.77%K -10.05%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.33%EV -10.23%E -7.20%K -24.36%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-17 08:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.