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Hiroshima Toyo Carp v Hanshin Tigers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local)
Prediction 37.95%2.64fair odd
EV +2.46%
Edge +0.913%
Kelly +1.45%
Growth +0.036%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.41%37.92%37.87%40.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.262.502.502.7044.25%40.02%40.00%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hanshin Tigers (Visit)
Prediction 62.05%1.61fair odd
EV -1.96%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -3.38%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.74%62.08%62.13%64.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.511.501.5868.97%66.11%66.67%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local): 37.95%; Hanshin Tigers (Visit): 62.05%. For Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.64. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.46%.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV +2.46%E +0.913%K +1.45%G +0.036% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -8.17%E -5.52%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-19 08:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +0.567%E +0.214%K +0.344%G +0.002% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -8.79%E -5.98%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-19 08:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +0.567%E +0.214%K +0.344%G +0.002% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -8.79%E -5.98%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-19 08:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +0.567%E +0.214%K +0.344%G +0.002% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -8.79%E -5.98%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-19 08:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +0.567%E +0.214%K +0.344%G +0.002% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -8.79%E -5.98%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-19 08:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +0.567%E +0.214%K +0.344%G +0.002% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -8.79%E -5.98%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-19 08:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +0.567%E +0.214%K +0.344%G +0.002% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -8.79%E -5.98%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-19 08:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -0.951%E -0.364%K -0.590%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -4.44%E -2.89%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-19 08:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -0.951%E -0.364%K -0.590%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -4.44%E -2.89%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-19 08:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.33%E -0.512%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 08:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -4.37%E -1.73%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -1.96%E -1.24%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-19 08:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.37%E -1.73%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.06%E -3.31%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-19 08:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.06%E -3.31%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-19 08:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.92%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-19 08:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.92%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-19 08:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.92%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-19 08:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.92%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-18 13:23 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.79%E -5.98%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-19 08:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -10.03%E -6.92%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-19 08:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -5.50%E -2.21%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -2.58%E -1.64%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-19 08:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -6.64%E -2.70%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.06%E -3.31%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-19 08:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.02%E -2.87%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.20%E -2.05%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-19 08:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.02%E -2.87%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.82%E -2.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-19 08:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.02%E -2.87%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.82%E -2.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-19 08:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.02%E -2.87%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.06%E -3.31%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-19 08:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.02%E -2.87%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.06%E -3.31%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-19 08:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.02%E -2.87%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.30%E -4.18%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-19 08:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV -7.78%E -3.20%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -1.96%E -1.24%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-19 08:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.92%E -3.72%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.06%E -3.31%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-19 08:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.92%E -3.72%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.92%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-19 08:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.92%E -3.72%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.92%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-19 08:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -10.82%E -4.60%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -2.58%E -1.64%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-19 08:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.72%E -5.53%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.82%E -2.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-19 08:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -12.72%E -5.53%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.85%EV -8.17%E -5.52%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-19 08:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 39.25%EV -14.23%E -6.30%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.75%EV -9.41%E -6.44%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-19 08:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.