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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Hiroshima Toyo Carp v Hanshin Tigers

开赛时间： 2026-07-19 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

35 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (主队)

预测 37.95%2.64公平赔率
EV +2.46%
优势 +0.913%
Kelly +1.45%
增长率 +0.036%

假设最高赔率为 2.70

博彩公司预测分布
35.41%37.92%37.87%40.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.262.502.502.7044.25%40.02%40.00%37.04%最小值均值中位数最大值

Hanshin Tigers (客队)

预测 62.05%1.61公平赔率
EV -1.96%
优势 -1.24%
Kelly -3.38%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.58

博彩公司预测分布
59.74%62.08%62.13%64.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.451.511.501.5868.97%66.11%66.67%63.29%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Hiroshima Toyo Carp (主队)：37.95%；Hanshin Tigers (客队)：62.05%。 对于“Hiroshima Toyo Carp (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.64。 当时有7家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.70，对应+2.46%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (35 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV +2.46%E +0.913%K +1.45%G +0.036%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -8.17%E -5.52%K -17.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 08:10
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +0.567%E +0.214%K +0.344%G +0.002%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -8.79%E -5.98%K -18.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 08:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +0.567%E +0.214%K +0.344%G +0.002%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -8.79%E -5.98%K -18.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 08:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +0.567%E +0.214%K +0.344%G +0.002%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -8.79%E -5.98%K -18.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 08:00
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +0.567%E +0.214%K +0.344%G +0.002%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -8.79%E -5.98%K -18.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 08:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +0.567%E +0.214%K +0.344%G +0.002%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -8.79%E -5.98%K -18.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 08:00
Bally Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +0.567%E +0.214%K +0.344%G +0.002%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -8.79%E -5.98%K -18.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 08:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -0.951%E -0.364%K -0.590%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -4.44%E -2.89%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-19 08:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -0.951%E -0.364%K -0.590%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -4.44%E -2.89%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-19 08:40
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.33%E -0.512%K -0.831%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 08:50
Pinnacle🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -4.37%E -1.73%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -1.96%E -1.24%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-19 08:50
FanDuel🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.37%E -1.73%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.06%E -3.31%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 08:50
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.06%E -3.31%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 08:50
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.92%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-19 08:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.92%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-19 08:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.92%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-19 08:50
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.92%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-18 13:23
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.79%E -5.98%K -18.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-19 08:45
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -10.03%E -6.92%K -22.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-19 08:49
1xBet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -5.50%E -2.21%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -2.58%E -1.64%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-19 08:44
MyBookie.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -6.64%E -2.70%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.06%E -3.31%K -9.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 08:54
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.02%E -2.87%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.20%E -2.05%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-19 08:55
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.02%E -2.87%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.82%E -2.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 08:55
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.02%E -2.87%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.82%E -2.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 08:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.02%E -2.87%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.06%E -3.31%K -9.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-19 08:50
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.02%E -2.87%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.06%E -3.31%K -9.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-19 08:34
ReBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.02%E -2.87%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.30%E -4.18%K -12.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-19 08:45
BetUS🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV -7.78%E -3.20%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -1.96%E -1.24%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-19 08:40
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.92%E -3.72%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.06%E -3.31%K -9.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-19 08:45
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.92%E -3.72%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.92%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-19 08:45
Everygame🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.92%E -3.72%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.92%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-19 08:35
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -10.82%E -4.60%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -2.58%E -1.64%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-19 08:55
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.72%E -5.53%K -9.78%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.82%E -2.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-19 08:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -12.72%E -5.53%K -9.78%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.85%EV -8.17%E -5.52%K -17.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-19 08:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 39.25%EV -14.23%E -6.30%K -11.30%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 60.75%EV -9.41%E -6.44%K -20.45%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-19 08:49
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。