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Hiroshima Toyo Carp v Chunichi Dragons
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local)
Prediction 48.19%2.08fair odd
EV +5.53%
Edge +2.53%
Kelly +4.65%
Growth +0.257%
assuming max odds 2.19
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.85%47.76%48.60%50.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.981.952.1955.25%50.43%51.28%45.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chunichi Dragons (Visit)
Prediction 51.81%1.93fair odd
EV -0.002%
Edge -0.001%
Kelly -0.002%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.21%52.24%51.40%56.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.791.801.9358.48%55.77%55.56%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local): 48.19%; Chunichi Dragons (Visit): 51.81%. For Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.08. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.19, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.53%.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV +5.53%E +2.53%K +4.65%G +0.257% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -11.40%E -6.67%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-31 14:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV +4.09%E +1.89%K +3.52%G +0.144% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -8.81%E -5.01%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-01 07:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV +2.16%E +1.02%K +1.93%G +0.042% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -11.40%E -6.67%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 08:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV +2.16%E +1.02%K +1.93%G +0.042% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -11.40%E -6.67%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 08:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV +2.16%E +1.02%K +1.93%G +0.042% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -11.40%E -6.67%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 08:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV +2.16%E +1.02%K +1.93%G +0.042% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -11.40%E -6.67%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 08:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV +2.16%E +1.02%K +1.93%G +0.042% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -11.40%E -6.67%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 08:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV +2.16%E +1.02%K +1.93%G +0.042% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -11.40%E -6.67%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 08:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.66%E -1.32%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.70%E -3.13%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-01 08:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.66%E -1.32%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.70%E -3.13%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-01 08:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.66%E -1.32%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.74%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 08:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.62%E -1.81%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.29%E -4.68%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-01 08:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.62%E -1.81%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.36%E -5.99%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-01 08:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.62%E -1.81%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.36%E -5.99%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-01 08:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.62%E -1.81%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.36%E -5.99%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-01 08:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -5.07%E -2.57%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -2.07%E -1.10%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-01 08:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.03%E -3.09%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.11%E -1.66%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 08:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.03%E -3.09%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.11%E -1.66%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 08:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.03%E -3.09%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.11%E -1.66%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 08:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.03%E -3.09%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.15%E -2.24%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 08:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.03%E -3.09%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.15%E -2.24%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 08:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.03%E -3.09%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.15%E -2.24%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 08:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -6.03%E -3.09%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -8.29%E -4.68%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-01 08:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.03%E -3.09%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.33%E -5.33%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-01 08:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -7.00%E -3.63%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -4.67%E -2.54%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-01 08:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.96%E -4.17%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.18%E -2.83%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-01 08:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.96%E -4.17%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.18%E -2.83%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-01 08:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.96%E -4.17%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.18%E -2.83%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-01 08:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.96%E -4.17%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.18%E -2.83%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-01 08:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.96%E -4.17%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.74%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 08:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.96%E -4.17%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.74%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 08:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.44%E -4.44%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.74%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-01 08:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -9.89%E -5.29%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -0.002%E -0.001%K -0.002%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 08:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.89%E -5.29%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.11%E -1.66%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-01 08:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.75%EV -10.85%E -5.87%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.25%EV -8.81%E -5.01%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-01 08:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.87%EV -12.78%E -7.06%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.13%EV -10.36%E -5.99%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-01 08:48 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
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