默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hiroshima Toyo Carp v Chunichi Dragons

开赛时间: 2026-08-01 09:01 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

36 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (主队)

预测 48.19%2.08公平赔率
EV +5.53%
优势 +2.53%
Kelly +4.65%
增长率 +0.257%

假设最高赔率为 2.19

博彩公司预测分布
43.85%47.76%48.60%50.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.811.981.952.1955.25%50.43%51.28%45.66%最小值均值中位数最大值

Chunichi Dragons (客队)

预测 51.81%1.93公平赔率
EV -0.002%
优势 -0.001%
Kelly -0.002%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.93

博彩公司预测分布
49.21%52.24%51.40%56.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.711.791.801.9358.48%55.77%55.56%51.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Hiroshima Toyo Carp (主队):48.19%;Chunichi Dragons (客队):51.81%。 对于“Hiroshima Toyo Carp (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.08。 当时有8家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.19,对应+5.53%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (36 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
William Hill🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV +5.53%E +2.53%K +4.65%G +0.257%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -11.40%E -6.67%K -16.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 14:19
Pinnacle🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV +4.09%E +1.89%K +3.52%G +0.144%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -8.81%E -5.01%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-01 07:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV +2.16%E +1.02%K +1.93%G +0.042%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -11.40%E -6.67%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 08:55
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV +2.16%E +1.02%K +1.93%G +0.042%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -11.40%E -6.67%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 08:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV +2.16%E +1.02%K +1.93%G +0.042%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -11.40%E -6.67%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 08:55
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV +2.16%E +1.02%K +1.93%G +0.042%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -11.40%E -6.67%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 08:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV +2.16%E +1.02%K +1.93%G +0.042%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -11.40%E -6.67%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 08:55
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV +2.16%E +1.02%K +1.93%G +0.042%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -11.40%E -6.67%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 08:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.66%E -1.32%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.70%E -3.13%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-01 08:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.66%E -1.32%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.70%E -3.13%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-01 08:35
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.66%E -1.32%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.74%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 08:55
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.62%E -1.81%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.29%E -4.68%K -10.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-01 08:55
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.62%E -1.81%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.36%E -5.99%K -14.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-01 08:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.62%E -1.81%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.36%E -5.99%K -14.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-01 08:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.62%E -1.81%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.36%E -5.99%K -14.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-01 08:40
1xBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -5.07%E -2.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -2.07%E -1.10%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-01 08:49
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.03%E -3.09%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.11%E -1.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 08:50
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.03%E -3.09%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.11%E -1.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 08:45
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.03%E -3.09%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.11%E -1.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 08:45
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.03%E -3.09%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.15%E -2.24%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 08:44
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.03%E -3.09%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.15%E -2.24%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 08:44
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.03%E -3.09%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.15%E -2.24%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 08:45
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -6.03%E -3.09%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -8.29%E -4.68%K -10.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-01 08:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.03%E -3.09%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.33%E -5.33%K -12.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-01 08:44
MyBookie.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -7.00%E -3.63%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -4.67%E -2.54%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 08:49
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.96%E -4.17%K -8.75%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.18%E -2.83%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 08:44
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.96%E -4.17%K -8.75%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.18%E -2.83%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 08:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.96%E -4.17%K -8.75%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.18%E -2.83%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 08:45
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.96%E -4.17%K -8.75%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.18%E -2.83%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 08:45
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.96%E -4.17%K -8.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.74%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 08:45
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.96%E -4.17%K -8.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.74%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 08:44
Everygame🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.44%E -4.44%K -9.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.74%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-01 08:45
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -9.89%E -5.29%K -11.37%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -0.002%E -0.001%K -0.002%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 08:54
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.89%E -5.29%K -11.37%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.11%E -1.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 08:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.75%EV -10.85%E -5.87%K -12.77%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.25%EV -8.81%E -5.01%K -11.59%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-01 08:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.87%EV -12.78%E -7.06%K -15.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.13%EV -10.36%E -5.99%K -14.20%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-01 08:48
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。