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Hiroshima Toyo Carp v Chunichi Dragons
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local)
Prediction 52.22%1.92fair odd
EV -0.269%
Edge -0.141%
Kelly -0.295%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.01%52.36%53.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.821.801.9157.80%55.03%55.56%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chunichi Dragons (Visit)
Prediction 47.78%2.09fair odd
EV -1.09%
Edge -0.525%
Kelly -1.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.92%47.99%47.64%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.941.952.0753.48%51.45%51.28%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local): 52.22%; Chunichi Dragons (Visit): 47.78%. For Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.92. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.91, with an expected value of -0.269%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.269%E -0.141%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.73%E -4.57%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-01 16:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.269%E -0.141%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.73%E -4.57%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-01 13:53 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.269%E -0.141%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.73%E -4.57%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-01 13:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.36%E -1.26%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.82%E -3.50%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-02 04:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.36%E -1.26%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.64%E -5.69%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 04:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.36%E -1.26%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.64%E -5.69%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 04:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.36%E -1.26%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.64%E -5.69%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 04:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.36%E -1.26%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.64%E -5.69%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 04:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.36%E -1.26%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.64%E -5.69%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 04:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.36%E -1.26%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.64%E -5.69%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 04:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -3.92%E -2.13%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -3.48%E -1.72%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-02 04:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -1.09%E -0.525%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-02 04:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.43%E -2.22%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-02 04:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -8.25%E -4.30%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 04:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.73%E -4.57%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 04:48 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.97%E -2.73%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.43%E -2.22%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-02 04:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.01%E -3.34%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.43%E -2.22%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 04:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.01%E -3.34%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.43%E -2.22%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 04:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.01%E -3.34%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.43%E -2.22%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 04:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.01%E -3.34%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.82%E -3.50%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 04:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.01%E -3.34%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.82%E -3.50%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 04:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.01%E -3.34%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.73%E -4.57%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 04:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.01%E -3.34%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.73%E -4.57%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 04:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.01%E -3.34%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.73%E -4.57%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 04:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -7.06%E -3.96%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -5.86%E -2.98%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 04:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.58%E -4.28%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.43%E -2.22%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 04:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.58%E -4.28%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.43%E -2.22%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 04:33 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.58%E -4.28%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.43%E -2.22%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 04:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -7.58%E -4.28%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -6.82%E -3.50%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 04:46 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.62%E -4.93%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.82%E -3.50%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 04:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.62%E -4.93%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.82%E -3.50%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 04:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.62%E -4.93%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.82%E -3.50%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 04:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -9.15%E -5.26%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -6.82%E -3.50%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 04:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.47%EV -9.67%E -5.59%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.53%EV -8.73%E -4.57%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 04:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.