默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hiroshima Toyo Carp v Chunichi Dragons

开赛时间： 2026-05-02 05:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

52%

48%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (主队)

预测 52.22%1.92公平赔率

EV -0.269%

优势 -0.141%

Kelly -0.295%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.91

博彩公司预测分布

50.00%52.01%52.36%53.08%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.731.821.801.9157.80%55.03%55.56%52.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

Chunichi Dragons (客队)

预测 47.78%2.09公平赔率

EV -1.09%

优势 -0.525%

Kelly -1.01%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.07

博彩公司预测分布

46.92%47.99%47.64%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.871.941.952.0753.48%51.45%51.28%48.31%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Hiroshima Toyo Carp (主队)：52.22%；Chunichi Dragons (客队)：47.78%。对于“Hiroshima Toyo Carp (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.92。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.91，期望值为-0.269%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
William Hill🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.269%E -0.141%K -0.295%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.73%E -4.57%K -9.59%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-05-01 16:24
LowVig.ag🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.269%E -0.141%K -0.295%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.73%E -4.57%K -9.59%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-05-01 13:53
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.269%E -0.141%K -0.295%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.73%E -4.57%K -9.59%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-05-01 13:55
Coolbet🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.36%E -1.26%K -2.71%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.82%E -3.50%K -7.18%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-05-02 04:50
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.36%E -1.26%K -2.71%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.64%E -5.69%K -12.23%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-02 04:55
PMU (FR)🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.36%E -1.26%K -2.71%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.64%E -5.69%K -12.23%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-02 04:55
BetRivers🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.36%E -1.26%K -2.71%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.64%E -5.69%K -12.23%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-02 04:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.36%E -1.26%K -2.71%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.64%E -5.69%K -12.23%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-02 04:55
Unibet🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.36%E -1.26%K -2.71%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.64%E -5.69%K -12.23%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-02 04:55
Bally Bet🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.36%E -1.26%K -2.71%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.64%E -5.69%K -12.23%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-02 04:55
1xBet🎯	1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -3.92%E -2.13%K -4.67%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -3.48%E -1.72%K -3.41%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-05-02 04:35
Pinnacle🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.36%G +0.000%	2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -1.09%E -0.525%K -1.01%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-05-02 04:40
Fanatics🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.36%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.43%E -2.22%K -4.43%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-05-02 04:45
BetUS🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.36%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -8.25%E -4.30%K -8.97%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-05-02 04:45
Caesars🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.36%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.73%E -4.57%K -9.59%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-02 04:48
FanDuel🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.97%E -2.73%K -6.06%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.43%E -2.22%K -4.43%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-05-02 04:45
NordicBet🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.01%E -3.34%K -7.52%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.43%E -2.22%K -4.43%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-05-02 04:50
Betsson🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.01%E -3.34%K -7.52%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.43%E -2.22%K -4.43%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-05-02 04:50
DraftKings🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.01%E -3.34%K -7.52%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.43%E -2.22%K -4.43%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-05-02 04:45
BoyleSports🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.01%E -3.34%K -7.52%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.82%E -3.50%K -7.18%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-05-02 04:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.01%E -3.34%K -7.52%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.82%E -3.50%K -7.18%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-05-02 04:45
888sport🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.01%E -3.34%K -7.52%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.73%E -4.57%K -9.59%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-05-02 04:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.01%E -3.34%K -7.52%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.73%E -4.57%K -9.59%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-05-02 04:50
888sport (SE)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.01%E -3.34%K -7.52%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.73%E -4.57%K -9.59%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-05-02 04:50
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -7.06%E -3.96%K -9.05%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -5.86%E -2.98%K -6.05%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-05-02 04:44
theScore Bet🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.58%E -4.28%K -9.84%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.43%E -2.22%K -4.43%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-05-02 04:45
Bovada🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.58%E -4.28%K -9.84%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.43%E -2.22%K -4.43%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-05-02 04:33
BetMGM🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.58%E -4.28%K -9.84%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.43%E -2.22%K -4.43%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-05-02 04:39
ReBet🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -7.58%E -4.28%K -9.84%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -6.82%E -3.50%K -7.18%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-05-02 04:46
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.62%E -4.93%K -11.50%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.82%E -3.50%K -7.18%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-05-02 04:50
Coral🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.62%E -4.93%K -11.50%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.82%E -3.50%K -7.18%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-05-02 04:45
Everygame🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.62%E -4.93%K -11.50%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.82%E -3.50%K -7.18%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-05-02 04:45
Betway🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -9.15%E -5.26%K -12.36%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -6.82%E -3.50%K -7.18%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-05-02 04:45
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 52.47%EV -9.67%E -5.59%K -13.24%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 47.53%EV -8.73%E -4.57%K -9.59%G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-05-02 04:45

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。