Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hiroshima Toyo Carp v Chunichi Dragons

2026-08-02 09:00 UTC — NPB

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local)

Prediction 51.40%1.95fair odd
EV -2.85%
Edge -1.51%
Kelly -3.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.73%51.58%51.46%53.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.821.831.8957.14%54.86%54.79%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chunichi Dragons (Visit)

Prediction 48.60%2.06fair odd
EV -2.80%
Edge -1.40%
Kelly -2.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.95%48.42%48.54%50.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.931.952.0054.05%51.71%51.28%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local): 51.40%; Chunichi Dragons (Visit): 48.60%. For Chunichi Dragons (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.06. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.00, with an expected value of -2.80%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetUS1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%EV -2.85%E -1.51%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.27%EV -9.12%E -4.88%K -10.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 18:05
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -3.37%E -1.79%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -3.77%E -1.91%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-01 14:05
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.88%E -2.08%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.23%E -2.68%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 20:45
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.88%E -2.08%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.23%E -2.68%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 20:45
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -4.91%E -2.65%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -3.29%E -1.65%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 14:19
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.91%E -2.65%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.75%E -2.42%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 20:40
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.91%E -2.65%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.23%E -2.68%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 20:35
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.91%E -2.65%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.23%E -2.68%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 20:34
LowVig.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -5.42%E -2.95%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -3.29%E -1.65%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 15:24
BetOnline.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -5.42%E -2.95%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -3.29%E -1.65%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 15:25
MyBookie.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -5.42%E -2.95%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -6.20%E -3.21%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 20:49
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.94%E -3.24%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.23%E -2.68%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 14:04
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.94%E -3.24%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.17%E -3.76%K -7.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 20:45
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.94%E -3.24%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.17%E -3.76%K -7.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 20:44
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.94%E -3.24%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.17%E -3.76%K -7.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 15:20
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.94%E -3.24%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.17%E -3.76%K -7.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 20:45
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -6.45%E -3.54%K -7.87%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -4.75%E -2.42%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 18:28
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.45%E -3.54%K -7.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.23%E -2.68%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 18:25
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.45%E -3.54%K -7.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.23%E -2.68%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 18:25
PMU (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.45%E -3.54%K -7.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.23%E -2.68%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 18:24
Bally Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.45%E -3.54%K -7.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.23%E -2.68%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.45%E -3.54%K -7.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.23%E -2.68%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 18:29
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.48%E -4.16%K -9.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.17%E -3.76%K -7.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 14:10
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.48%E -4.16%K -9.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.17%E -3.76%K -7.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 14:10
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.48%E -4.16%K -9.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.17%E -3.76%K -7.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 14:10
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.48%E -4.16%K -9.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.17%E -3.76%K -7.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 18:05
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.48%E -4.16%K -9.35%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.66%E -4.03%K -8.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-01 20:44
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.10%EV -8.51%E -4.78%K -10.91%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.90%EV -9.60%E -5.16%K -11.17%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-01 20:44
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -9.02%E -5.10%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -2.80%E -1.40%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-01 14:03
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -9.02%E -5.10%K -11.72%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%EV -9.12%E -4.88%K -10.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-01 21:04
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.25%EV -9.54%E -5.42%K -12.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.75%EV -10.09%E -5.45%K -11.87%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-01 21:05
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.05%E -5.74%K -13.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.23%E -2.68%K -5.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-01 15:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.