默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hiroshima Toyo Carp v Chunichi Dragons

开赛时间： 2026-08-02 09:01 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

50%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (主队)

预测 50.41%1.98公平赔率

EV -2.70%

优势 -1.40%

Kelly -2.90%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.93

博彩公司预测分布

50.00%50.68%50.00%53.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.761.851.851.9356.82%54.14%54.05%51.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

Chunichi Dragons (客队)

预测 49.59%2.02公平赔率

EV -0.830%

优势 -0.415%

Kelly -0.830%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.00

博彩公司预测分布

46.95%49.32%50.00%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.771.911.912.0056.50%52.40%52.36%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Hiroshima Toyo Carp (主队)：50.41%；Chunichi Dragons (客队)：49.59%。对于“Chunichi Dragons (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.02。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.00，期望值为-0.830%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
1xBet🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -2.70%E -1.40%K -2.90%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.23%K -4.62%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-08-02 08:35
DraftKings🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.71%E -1.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.29%E -2.77%K -5.82%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-02 08:54
FanDuel🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.71%E -1.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.29%E -2.77%K -5.82%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-02 08:40
Fanatics🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.71%E -1.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.29%E -2.77%K -5.82%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-02 08:40
LowVig.ag🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.71%E -1.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.29%E -2.77%K -5.82%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-02 08:44
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.71%E -1.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.29%E -2.77%K -5.82%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-02 08:45
NordicBet🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.21%E -2.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.79%E -3.05%K -6.43%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-02 08:45
Betsson🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.21%E -2.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.79%E -3.05%K -6.43%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-02 08:44
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.22%E -2.78%K -5.93%G +0.000%	1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -6.28%E -3.32%K -7.06%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-02 08:44
BetUS🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.72%E -3.06%K -6.58%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.30%E -2.23%K -4.62%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-02 08:50
theScore Bet🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.72%E -3.06%K -6.58%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.28%E -3.89%K -8.36%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-02 08:40
ReBet🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.72%E -3.06%K -6.58%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.28%E -3.89%K -8.36%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-02 08:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.72%E -3.06%K -6.58%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.28%E -3.89%K -8.36%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-02 08:40
Bovada🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.72%E -3.06%K -6.58%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.28%E -3.89%K -8.36%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-02 08:41
BoyleSports🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.72%E -3.06%K -6.58%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.28%E -3.89%K -8.36%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-02 08:40
William Hill🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -6.73%E -3.64%K -7.92%G +0.000%	1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -1.33%E -0.666%K -1.34%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-01 14:19
Coolbet🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.73%E -3.64%K -7.92%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.81%E -1.44%K -2.93%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-02 08:55
BetMGM🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.73%E -3.64%K -7.92%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.29%E -2.77%K -5.82%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-01 22:55
Everygame🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.73%E -3.64%K -7.92%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.27%E -4.47%K -9.73%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-02 08:34
Betway🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.33%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.26%E -5.06%K -11.16%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-08-02 08:45
Unibet🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -8.75%E -4.83%K -10.80%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -2.32%E -1.18%K -2.39%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-02 08:54
BetRivers🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -8.75%E -4.83%K -10.80%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -2.81%E -1.44%K -2.93%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-02 08:50
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -8.75%E -4.83%K -10.80%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -2.81%E -1.44%K -2.93%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-02 08:50
PMU (FR)🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -8.75%E -4.83%K -10.80%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -2.81%E -1.44%K -2.93%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-02 08:50
Bally Bet🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -8.75%E -4.83%K -10.80%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -2.81%E -1.44%K -2.93%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-02 08:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -8.75%E -4.83%K -10.80%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -2.81%E -1.44%K -2.93%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-02 08:50
888sport🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.25%E -5.14%K -11.57%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.29%E -2.77%K -5.82%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-01 14:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.25%E -5.14%K -11.57%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.29%E -2.77%K -5.82%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-01 14:10
888sport (SE)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.25%E -5.14%K -11.57%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.29%E -2.77%K -5.82%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-01 14:10
Coral🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.25%E -5.14%K -11.57%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.29%E -2.77%K -5.82%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-01 22:59
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -9.25%E -5.14%K -11.57%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -5.79%E -3.05%K -6.43%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-08-02 08:45
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -9.25%E -5.14%K -11.57%G +0.000%	1.81I 55.25%NM 49.86%EV -10.25%E -5.66%K -12.66%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-08-02 08:50
Caesars🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -10.77%E -6.08%K -13.98%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -0.830%E -0.415%K -0.830%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-08-01 14:03
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 50.14%EV -11.27%E -6.40%K -14.83%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 49.86%EV -12.23%E -6.91%K -15.89%G +0.000%	13.3%	2026-08-02 08:45

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。