The School of Odds
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Hanshin Tigers v Tokyo Yakult Swallows

2026-08-19 09:00 UTC — NPB

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hanshin Tigers (Local)

Prediction 59.25%1.69fair odd
EV -2.82%
Edge -1.72%
Kelly -4.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.06%59.32%59.34%60.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.591.571.6465.79%63.07%63.69%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit)

Prediction 40.75%2.45fair odd
EV -2.21%
Edge -0.920%
Kelly -1.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.28%40.68%40.66%41.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.322.302.4046.51%43.15%43.48%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Hanshin Tigers (Local): 59.25%; Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit): 40.75%. For Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.45. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.40, with an expected value of -2.21%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -2.82%E -1.72%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV -2.62%E -1.09%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-18 14:50
BetUS🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -2.82%E -1.72%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -7.51%E -3.31%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 15:15
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.25%EV -3.42%E -2.10%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.75%EV -3.43%E -1.45%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-18 13:34
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.01%E -2.47%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.21%E -0.920%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-18 13:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.01%E -2.47%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.21%E -0.920%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-18 13:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.01%E -2.47%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.21%E -0.920%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-18 13:44
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.01%E -2.47%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 13:15
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.01%E -2.47%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 13:15
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.01%E -2.47%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 13:15
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.01%E -2.47%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.32%E -3.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-18 13:15
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.25%E -1.81%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 15:35
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.19%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -3.84%E -1.63%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-18 13:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.19%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 13:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.79%E -3.64%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 13:44
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.79%E -3.64%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 15:21
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-18 13:45
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-18 13:45
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.32%E -3.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-18 13:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.32%E -3.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-18 13:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.32%E -3.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-18 13:15
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.32%E -3.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-18 18:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.56%E -4.85%K -13.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.21%E -0.920%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 19:50
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.56%E -4.85%K -13.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.21%E -0.920%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 19:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.56%E -4.85%K -13.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.21%E -0.920%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 19:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.56%E -4.85%K -13.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.21%E -0.920%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 19:50
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.56%E -4.85%K -13.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.21%E -0.920%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 19:50
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.56%E -4.85%K -13.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.21%E -0.920%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 19:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -8.16%E -5.26%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.36%E -4.71%K -8.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-18 13:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.42%EV -9.34%E -6.11%K -17.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.58%EV -12.40%E -5.77%K -10.78%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-18 13:44
ReBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.42%EV -9.34%E -6.11%K -17.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.58%EV -12.40%E -5.77%K -10.78%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-18 13:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.93%E -6.54%K -19.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -4.25%E -1.81%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-18 14:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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