默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hanshin Tigers v Tokyo Yakult Swallows

开赛时间： 2026-08-19 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

61%

39%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hanshin Tigers (主队)

预测 61.03%1.64公平赔率

EV -1.14%

优势 -0.702%

Kelly -1.83%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.62

博彩公司预测分布

58.14%60.92%61.07%62.97%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.461.551.561.6268.49%64.58%64.10%61.73%最小值均值中位数最大值

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)

预测 38.97%2.57公平赔率

EV -0.617%

优势 -0.242%

Kelly -0.398%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.55

博彩公司预测分布

37.03%39.08%38.93%41.86%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.252.412.402.5544.44%41.55%41.67%39.22%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Hanshin Tigers (主队)：61.03%；Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)：38.97%。对于“Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.57。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.55，期望值为-0.617%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Caesars🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.14%E -0.702%K -1.83%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -12.31%E -5.47%K -9.85%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-18 13:15
BetMGM🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.75%E -1.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.36%E -4.50%K -7.97%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-18 21:55
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -2.36%E -1.47%K -3.93%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -3.35%E -1.35%K -2.26%G +0.000%	2.8%	2026-08-19 08:49
LowVig.ag🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -2.36%E -1.47%K -3.93%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -3.35%E -1.35%K -2.26%G +0.000%	2.8%	2026-08-19 08:49
Coolbet🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.58%E -2.26%K -6.17%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.62%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-19 08:44
Fanatics🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.19%E -2.67%K -7.35%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.57%E -1.03%K -1.71%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-08-19 08:44
1xBet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -4.19%E -2.67%K -7.35%G +0.000%	2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -2.96%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-08-19 08:44
Unibet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.19%E -2.67%K -7.35%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.24%E -3.04%K -5.25%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-19 08:54
Coral🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.19%E -2.67%K -7.35%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -12.31%E -5.47%K -9.85%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-18 21:54
Pinnacle🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.80%E -3.08%K -8.57%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -0.617%E -0.242%K -0.398%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-08-19 08:44
BetUS🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -4.80%E -3.08%K -8.57%G +0.000%	2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -3.73%E -1.51%K -2.54%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-19 08:39
DraftKings🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.80%E -3.08%K -8.57%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-19 08:49
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -4.80%E -3.08%K -8.57%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -7.24%E -3.04%K -5.25%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-19 08:54
BetRivers🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -4.80%E -3.08%K -8.57%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -7.24%E -3.04%K -5.25%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-19 08:54
PMU (FR)🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -4.80%E -3.08%K -8.57%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -7.24%E -3.04%K -5.25%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-19 08:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -4.80%E -3.08%K -8.57%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -7.24%E -3.04%K -5.25%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-19 08:54
Bally Bet🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -4.80%E -3.08%K -8.57%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -7.24%E -3.04%K -5.25%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-19 08:54
NordicBet🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.83%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-19 08:40
Betsson🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.83%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-19 08:44
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.83%G +0.000%	2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -5.68%E -2.35%K -4.00%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-19 08:49
FanDuel🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -6.63%E -4.33%K -12.51%G +0.000%	2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -1.79%E -0.709%K -1.18%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-19 08:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.63%E -4.33%K -12.51%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-19 08:55
Bovada🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.63%E -4.33%K -12.51%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-19 08:34
BoyleSports🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.63%E -4.33%K -12.51%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.62%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-19 08:44
ReBet🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.63%E -4.33%K -12.51%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.62%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-19 08:54
theScore Bet🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.63%E -4.33%K -12.51%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.62%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-19 08:44
888sport🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.63%E -4.33%K -12.51%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.24%E -3.04%K -5.25%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-08-19 08:44
888sport (SE)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.63%E -4.33%K -12.51%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.24%E -3.04%K -5.25%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-08-19 08:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.63%E -4.33%K -12.51%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.24%E -3.04%K -5.25%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-08-19 08:44
Betway🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.46%E -5.64%K -16.92%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.62%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-08-19 08:54
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 60.85%EV -9.68%E -6.54%K -20.17%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -10.36%E -4.50%K -7.97%G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-08-19 08:54
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -10.29%E -7.00%K -21.90%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -2.57%E -1.03%K -1.71%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-08-19 08:44
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.46I 68.49%NM 60.65%EV -10.90%E -7.47%K -23.70%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -12.31%E -5.47%K -9.85%G +0.000%	12.9%	2026-08-19 08:54

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。