Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hanshin Tigers v Tokyo Yakult Swallows

Kickoff: 2026-07-11 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

63%

37%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hanshin Tigers (Local)

Prediction 62.81%1.59fair odd

EV -2.64%

Edge -1.70%

Kelly -4.80%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

60.76%62.72%62.81%64.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.431.511.501.5569.93%66.36%66.67%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit)

Prediction 37.19%2.69fair odd

EV +1.89%

Edge +0.690%

Kelly +1.09%

Growth +0.021%

assuming max odds 2.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

35.38%37.28%37.19%39.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.322.512.502.7443.10%39.81%40.00%36.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
LowVig.ag	1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -5.78%E -3.85%K -11.56%G +0.000%	2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV +1.89%E +0.690%K +1.09%G +0.021%	3.2%	2026-07-11 08:49
BetOnline.ag	1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -5.78%E -3.85%K -11.56%G +0.000%	2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV +1.89%E +0.690%K +1.09%G +0.021%	3.2%	2026-07-11 08:49
Pinnacle	1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -3.90%E -2.55%K -7.35%G +0.000%	2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -1.08%E -0.408%K -0.653%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-07-11 08:54
BetUS	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.90%E -2.55%K -7.35%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.32%E -1.28%K -2.07%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-07-11 08:44
NordicBet	1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.52%E -2.98%K -8.70%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.32%E -1.28%K -2.07%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-11 08:29
Betsson	1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.52%E -2.98%K -8.70%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.32%E -1.28%K -2.07%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-11 08:29
DraftKings	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.15%E -3.41%K -10.10%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.32%E -1.28%K -2.07%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-11 08:54
FanDuel	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.78%E -3.85%K -11.56%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.32%E -1.28%K -2.07%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-11 08:29
William Hill	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.90%E -2.55%K -7.35%G +0.000%	2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -4.06%E -1.57%K -2.57%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-11 04:29
1xBet	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.53%EV -3.27%E -2.12%K -6.05%G +0.000%	2.57I 38.91%NM 37.47%EV -4.43%E -1.72%K -2.82%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-07-11 08:49
Bovada	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.41%E -4.30%K -13.08%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.17%E -2.03%K -3.34%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-07-11 08:43
Tipico (DE)	1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.92%E -6.15%K -19.82%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.17%E -2.03%K -3.34%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-07-11 08:25
Everygame	1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.92%E -6.15%K -19.82%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.17%E -2.03%K -3.34%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-07-11 08:44
MyBookie.ag	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.78%E -3.85%K -11.56%G +0.000%	2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -5.55%E -2.18%K -3.60%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-11 08:28
Coolbet	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -3.90%E -2.55%K -7.35%G +0.000%	2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -6.29%E -2.50%K -4.14%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-11 08:29
BetMGM	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.90%E -2.55%K -7.35%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.03%E -2.81%K -4.69%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-10 19:45
BoyleSports	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.78%E -3.85%K -11.56%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.03%E -2.81%K -4.69%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-11 05:24
Hard Rock Bet	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.78%E -3.85%K -11.56%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.03%E -2.81%K -4.69%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-11 05:24
888sport	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.78%E -3.85%K -11.56%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.03%E -2.81%K -4.69%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-11 08:29
888sport (SE)	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.78%E -3.85%K -11.56%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.03%E -2.81%K -4.69%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-11 08:30
Mr Green (SE)	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.78%E -3.85%K -11.56%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.03%E -2.81%K -4.69%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-11 08:29
Fliff	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.78%E -3.85%K -11.56%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.03%E -2.81%K -4.69%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-11 08:49
ReBet	1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.41%E -4.30%K -13.08%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.03%E -2.81%K -4.69%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-11 08:24
theScore Bet	1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.04%E -4.75%K -14.66%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.03%E -2.81%K -4.69%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-07-11 08:24
Betway	1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.04%E -4.75%K -14.66%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.03%E -2.81%K -4.69%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-07-11 08:24
Fanatics	1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.92%E -6.15%K -19.82%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.03%E -2.81%K -4.69%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-07-11 08:49
BetRivers	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.64%E -1.70%K -4.80%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -10.75%E -4.48%K -7.68%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-11 08:19
Unibet (SE)	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.64%E -1.70%K -4.80%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -10.75%E -4.48%K -7.68%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-11 08:19
Unibet	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.64%E -1.70%K -4.80%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -10.75%E -4.48%K -7.68%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-11 08:19
LeoVegas (SE)	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.64%E -1.70%K -4.80%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -10.75%E -4.48%K -7.68%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-11 08:19
PMU (FR)	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.64%E -1.70%K -4.80%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -10.75%E -4.48%K -7.68%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-11 08:19
Bally Bet	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.64%E -1.70%K -4.80%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -10.75%E -4.48%K -7.68%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-11 08:19
Caesars	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.90%E -2.55%K -7.35%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.75%E -4.48%K -7.68%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-10 14:08
Coral	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.78%E -3.85%K -11.56%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.75%E -4.48%K -7.68%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-07-10 19:50
Unibet (FR)	1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -8.29%E -5.68%K -18.03%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.75%E -4.48%K -7.68%G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-07-11 08:50
Betclic (FR)	1.43I 69.93%NM 61.87%EV -10.18%E -7.12%K -23.67%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 38.13%EV -13.73%E -5.92%K -10.40%G +0.000%	13.0%	2026-07-11 08:34

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.