La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Hanshin Tigers v Tokyo Yakult Swallows
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Hanshin Tigers (Local)
Predicción 62.81%1.59momio equitativo
EV -2.64%
Ventaja -1.70%
Kelly -4.80%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.76%62.72%62.81%64.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.431.511.501.5569.93%66.36%66.67%64.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visitante)
Predicción 37.19%2.69momio equitativo
EV +1.89%
Ventaja +0.690%
Kelly +1.09%
Crecimiento +0.021%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.74
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.38%37.28%37.19%39.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.322.512.502.7443.10%39.81%40.00%36.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (36 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -5.78%E -3.85%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV +1.89%E +0.690%K +1.09%G +0.021% | 3.2% | 2026-07-11 08:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -5.78%E -3.85%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV +1.89%E +0.690%K +1.09%G +0.021% | 3.2% | 2026-07-11 08:49 |
| Pinnacle | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -3.90%E -2.55%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -1.08%E -0.408%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-11 08:54 |
| BetUS | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.90%E -2.55%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.32%E -1.28%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-11 08:44 |
| NordicBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.52%E -2.98%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.32%E -1.28%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-11 08:29 |
| Betsson | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.52%E -2.98%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.32%E -1.28%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-11 08:29 |
| DraftKings | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.15%E -3.41%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.32%E -1.28%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 08:54 |
| FanDuel | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.78%E -3.85%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.32%E -1.28%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 08:29 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.90%E -2.55%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -4.06%E -1.57%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-11 04:29 |
| 1xBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.53%EV -3.27%E -2.12%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.47%EV -4.43%E -1.72%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-11 08:49 |
| Bovada | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.41%E -4.30%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.17%E -2.03%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-11 08:43 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.92%E -6.15%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.17%E -2.03%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-11 08:25 |
| Everygame | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.92%E -6.15%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.17%E -2.03%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-11 08:44 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.78%E -3.85%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -5.55%E -2.18%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-11 08:28 |
| Coolbet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -3.90%E -2.55%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -6.29%E -2.50%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 08:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.90%E -2.55%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.03%E -2.81%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-10 19:45 |
| BoyleSports | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.78%E -3.85%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.03%E -2.81%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-11 05:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.78%E -3.85%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.03%E -2.81%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-11 05:24 |
| 888sport | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.78%E -3.85%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.03%E -2.81%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-11 08:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.78%E -3.85%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.03%E -2.81%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-11 08:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.78%E -3.85%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.03%E -2.81%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-11 08:29 |
| Fliff | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.78%E -3.85%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.03%E -2.81%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-11 08:49 |
| ReBet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.41%E -4.30%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.03%E -2.81%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-11 08:24 |
| theScore Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.04%E -4.75%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.03%E -2.81%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-11 08:24 |
| Betway | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.04%E -4.75%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.03%E -2.81%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-11 08:24 |
| Fanatics | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.92%E -6.15%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.03%E -2.81%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-11 08:49 |
| BetRivers | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.64%E -1.70%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -10.75%E -4.48%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-11 08:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.64%E -1.70%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -10.75%E -4.48%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-11 08:19 |
| Unibet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.64%E -1.70%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -10.75%E -4.48%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-11 08:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.64%E -1.70%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -10.75%E -4.48%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-11 08:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.64%E -1.70%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -10.75%E -4.48%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-11 08:19 |
| Bally Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.64%E -1.70%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -10.75%E -4.48%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-11 08:19 |
| Caesars | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.90%E -2.55%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.75%E -4.48%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-10 14:08 |
| Coral | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.78%E -3.85%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.75%E -4.48%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-10 19:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -8.29%E -5.68%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.75%E -4.48%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-11 08:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.87%EV -10.18%E -7.12%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.13%EV -13.73%E -5.92%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-11 08:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.